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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. https://www.facebook.com/bikales/videos/875320736466696 Downtown Millburn is completely underwater and every downtown business is damaged/destroyed
  2. Historic flooding in Millburn, NJ Essex County right now, entire downtown underwater, Main Street and surrounding neighborhoods underwater, water entering buildings on Main St.
  3. Lots of rain here, stuck in the mod/heavy rain band all day...and a good amount last night as well, thinking 4-7” is possible when all is done north of 78 in NJ
  4. models will flip and flop, and could be a flop, but give me fresh cold air, Neg NAO, and some juiced disturbances in March, and I’ll take my chances for something good...
  5. Strong NAO building in with cold air pressing, while a storm attempts to come up the coast produce potential for a significant winter storm for parts of the area 12Z GFS
  6. At work in Bergen, but looking at home camera looks to be about 2" - 3" and snowing heavily...
  7. Looks good for this storm, trending in right direction, now with 2-4” forecasted...
  8. Looking at all models and the current cold, but ‘staling’ airmass, 2-4” (maybe one stray 5” report in higher elevations) most of Morris, Sussex, W Passaic, N Somerset, Warren, N Hunterdon, 1-3” W Essex, W Union, S/C Somerset, most of Bergen, C-1” NYC and all other areas
  9. Was this February everyone #1 February over the past 20-30 years? Still a little to go, with likely full coverage wall to wall with snowcover, a 16” -30” HECS, 1-2 SECS, and 1-2 smaller storms...it’s up there
  10. Probably about 0.5” new today, for about 4” for this storm total....41” for the season; a total of 29 days season snowcover; 20 consecutive days now
  11. Looks like for the NYC Metro 2-4" from round 1 and then maybe another 1-3" over the next 18 hours for a total of 4"-7" or so. But in C & C/S NJ, they could be looking for a storm total of around a foot, with 8-10" alone from round 1.
  12. Yes, this will bust high for you and possibly others in NJ
  13. Looking at radar, I would say somewhere in NJ sees 6-8” from wave 1 alone...very impressive look all the way back to WV and SW
  14. Small flakes but very dense snow, moderate overall, already a quick coating/0.25” OTG
  15. New nam back to an inch of total QPF for most of the region with both waves, and a nice hit from wave 1 alone
  16. Warnings up for most of PHL zones....
  17. NAM now has long duration storm though...not ending till Fri night...
  18. Sounds like EURO would be 5-9" if that cold/ratios even with 0.4" - 0.6" QPF....
  19. Hate to say it, but this is one of the more obvious outcome storms seen in a while 6-9" seems very high confidence for most of metro regardless of model almost
  20. GFS prolonged, and starts early, just a long duration 80% to 100% snow storm for metro....all models get us to 6" - 10", just in different ways...
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