wherever the boundary sets up, just to its north will get a lot of frozen/snow, right now GFS is mostly north with maybe 1-4” with a little late development, CMC, EURO, UKIE range from near us to well south...
18Z NAM better initially, than goes back to weird double low structure, still as is 6-12" for most of NYC metro verbatim, but only about 20-30 miles from 12" -18" (NJ coast & C/E LI)
NAM in reality without the double barrel probable confusion would have been EURO/SREF like, I think that is resolved next model run...even still not a bad storm