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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. Northof78
    I would not sleep on Wednesday's system, if I had to make a bet, I would say at least 1-3" is likely...looks pretty favorable in terms of heights building, storm track and cold air...
  2. Northof78
    The GFS run looks brutally cold through Feb 15th...not sure we get a day above freezing through the entire run.
  3. Northof78
    Looks like many in the area are now near their total seasonal average save immediate NYC.
  4. Northof78
    GFS ensembles or other?
  5. Northof78
    Light snow now
  6. Northof78
    I can almost guarantee with a title of 'Its coming' 6 days out, it ain't coming ;-)
  7. Northof78
    Yeah, that guy always go rogue...I'm within 5-6 miles NW of Elizabeth and had 11"
  8. Northof78
    Is it just me, or the radar in PA looking decent for some light snow later this morning/afternoon, maybe a coating to 0.5" later?
  9. Northof78
    I am going with 11.4" based on nearby reports, tough to measure exactly with lots of sleet/compaction, etc. but 11.4" for Millburn, SW Essex, and that leaves me at 29.5" on the season (basically normal for an entire season)
  10. Northof78
    Never a bad thing to hit your seasonal average in January....
  11. Northof78
    Almost fully converted to coastal, as primary falling apart....
  12. Northof78
    Best forecast for almost all NY Metro was 10" - 15", with frankly a gradual increase from S to N, no huge cutoff, as for those who stayed all snow looks as ratios came down some. Places in C NJ have 10" - 12", NYC 11", NE NJ 11" - 14", NW NJ 12" - 15"
  13. Northof78
    11.2" was last night's free market bet, looks to be within an inch either side....not bad
  14. Northof78
    Roughly 9” and sleet
  15. Northof78
    PHL still mod/heavy snow with 0.5 mile vis at 12PM
  16. Northof78
    Very heavy snow now, probably 1.5" - 2"/hr stuff with dense large fluffy flakes
  17. Northof78
    DC area keeps switching back and forth from sleet to snow (somewhat rate depending), still reporting luhht snow with 0.5" vis as of 10AM
  18. Northof78
    Friend in N MD already has 9" with heavy snow (roughly 1.5"/hr.) And NAM gave him a storm total of 5"....
  19. Northof78
    Solid light snow, dusting
  20. Northof78
    14F / -9F ,Mostly Cloudy, light north winds
  21. Northof78
    Betting markets (smart money) likes the 18Z NAM for an additional 0.6" inches vs. prior to run, for an over/under for CPK is now 11.6" for the storm.
  22. Northof78
    9" - 13" for most of NYC Metro looks on track...12Z GFS looks really nice. MECS incoming...
  23. Northof78
    3 improved, 2 neutral, overall big south/stronger confluence trend
  24. Northof78
    Now, basically all models in the 10" - 15" range, with a good/classic coastal storm track and near perfect high pressure placement. Some sleet NYC S/E, but not before A LOT of snow....
  25. Northof78
    That was the only model that had NYC/ N NJ at less than 10", all other models just need to remain roughly steady and we are good to go.
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