Northof78
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Everything posted by Northof78
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GFS to my original forecast of 4" or more for I-95 and N/W with at least a strong thump than largely a dryslot with main low precence to our south and east -
A part of me still thinks this could miss SE/OTS, very odd set-up, odd possible tracks/solutions, and huge model disagreement
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Nice 6-12" from 78/80 N in NJ
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Nice thump on GFS with coastal due S of us for a while, ends up still west, but damage is done by then
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You mean other separate websites completely?
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About 4" or so verbatim now, but the 'trend' I would think continues of cold air mass recognition as we continue to get closer (somewhat regardless of ultimate L track)
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Yes, not saying all snow...but seems like it would be VERY HARD not to get a at least an intense front end dump with this
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It can and does, but no with this one...too much cold air, too much of a secondary low impulse...to much blocking, not perfect, but enough for a winter storm.
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GFS probably 6-12" snowstorm than dry slot verbatim on the GFS...with a monster/epic front end thump, very cold air well entrenched to start
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5.7" final here...very fluffy snow
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Nice moderate snow now with backbuilding a little...
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eyeballing around 5” with mod snow, will measure in a bit
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Wow, at the new NAM, classic NJ/NYC banding signature
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I like that the 'screw/transition' zone looks to set up west of the area for the most part, now just a matter of how far west the heaviest bands get from the coastal
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What do accums look like on the RGEM?
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Nice, it seems that is make or break with the coastal low for most of N/C NJ, NYC, and LI, western low will be basically gone by the time it gets here.
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Hopefully we escape the transition screw zone...usually it sets up more in W NJ/ E PA
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Almost all banding sets up further west than modeled
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Light dusting on colder surfaces here
