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Everything posted by Yanksfan
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Despite how strong this El Niño gets its influence over the pattern will be restricted due to the fact that it’s not coupled. Expect a wide range of variables with the overall pattern this winter. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Yanksfan replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
I was afraid of that as we are starting to get into the meso range. Looks like a doozy of a storm incoming. Good sign for this winter. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Yanksfan replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Sandy barely gave me any rain at all. -
Strong Nor'Easter/Hybrid Storm Late September 2026
Yanksfan replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Throw in the fact we’re going to have a full moon during the event. Sheesh. -
ICON came in way west.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
With a raging southern jet I think we can all agree on a stormy winter. What are the early thoughts on storm tracks; benchmark vs. inland runners? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That’s what I’m banking on. As long as the ElNino from hell manages to slay the west pacific hot blob dragon, I’ll gladly sacrifice next winter to appease the weather gods. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That monster warm blob has caused nothing but havoc with winter in the past several years in the northeast and mid Atlantic. If it takes a super ElNino to slay it while wrecking this upcoming winter in the process, so be it. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If we end up going super so be it. More important is when does it peak and start to fall off as far as winter is concerned. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Yanksfan replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That screams a Miller A pattern with the gulf open for business.☃️ -
17 inches in Nutley.
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We need the low to take a more NNE track to get optimum results.
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That track and intensity verbatim would be 2-3 ft area wide. Incredible.
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Anyone have the 6z EURO liquid total map? It was 0.7 for NYC at 00z.
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That’s just nuts for an ensemble.
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Yep. A storm this intense will supply its own cold air. The only thing I’d worry about if this monster tucks would be a dry slot.
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EPS ensembles?
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The model watching the past few days are like playing whack-a- mole. Another model run another solution. For the most part the 12z suite was encouraging but it feels tenuous at best with the Euro and EPS not on board. One would think in the next 24-36 hrs the fate with this storm will become much clearer.
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Down this morning after viewing the 00z runs but not out. We’ve been through this roller coaster ride so many times before. Let the NW ticks commence!
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Lee Goldberg who I consider one of the more reliable Mets out there is really downplaying the Sunday threat. He said that the overall pattern does not support a strong storm. Also notes that there will be limited cold air and it will be a fast mover. Am I missing something?
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6z EURO OP took a step towards the other models. Good improvements from 0z.
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1 inch.
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If we don’t end up with another warning criteria snowstorm or two it’ll be a C.
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We missed a KU event. If only this monster took a BM track. Painful miss.
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Wow big jump west by the 6z GEFS. The mean shows a nice hit for a lot of the area.
