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Yanksfan

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Everything posted by Yanksfan

  1. With the ongoing climate change we will continue to see extreme weather events in increasing frequency and out of the ordinary weather anomalies.
  2. I read somewhere that super Ninos are either eastern based or basin wide, but what if a fluke occurred like a super Modoki Nino? In that extreme setup would we end up with a prolific winter, or would the Nino overwhelm us with AN temps?
  3. On the subject of climate change and the increasing volatility going on with the weather, you think Mother Nature can conjure up the first ever modoki based super El Niño next winter? I would love to see NYC receive 100” of snowfall in a season!
  4. Despite what the GFS just showed, I’ll give it to 12Z tomorrow although it would be a fitting end to an absolute atrocious winter with one last knee kick to the nuts. Old man winter owes us big time next year.
  5. You might be right. The double barrel low showing up on the models today may be in response that they are not done trending towards a more favorable outcome. We’ll see.
  6. Very confusing run. I didn’t notice the western low just the dominate one which was way east at first then hooked toward the cape. I noticed the northern stream dug more as well so was hoping for a better outcome. Oh well.
  7. A track and intensity that the Euro just depicted should have showed a colder solution. Of course I’m just talking hypothetically. Lots of scenarios on the board still. We continue to track!
  8. Wow. Euro was real close to being historic. We just needed a bit more of northern stream interaction. Big improvements nonetheless with the Euro and CMC backing away from a hugger solution.
  9. We need it to to go benchmark and really bomb out. There’s no cold high in place.
  10. Yep the thermals are highly questionable in that run. An exploding low down by the Delmarva with rain? Don’t think so. That was an entertaining run regardless. Tons of potential.
  11. Gorgeous. Let’s get the Euro/EPS follow suit.
  12. It pops a low as well, but only NNE cashes in.
  13. Meanwhile the GFS is worlds away, but does show some baby steps towards the EURO. Since the potential storm is a week away, we will continue to see some wild swings with solutions from the Ops. I’ll focus more with the ensembles for now and look for trends.
  14. You know the deal with models that shows a cutter. They almost never waver from that solution. At this point in time follow the ensembles and look for trends.
  15. 18z GFS comes close to a KU event mid month.
  16. Correct me if I’m wrong, but to me when it comes to the “big ones” the CMC and especially the Euro sniffs them out 7+ days out, while the GFS lags behind only to catch on as we get closer in.
  17. That’s great news, but can we save the Friday storm in time?
  18. I ended up with 3.5”. It felt like shoveling cement.
  19. SE ridge is killing us this winter. Damn La Niña. Hope that tonight’s storm over produces.
  20. Let’s hope that the Euro and CMC holds serve where they’re at now and the GFS corrects SE tomorrow.
  21. Gfs showing signs of coming around though. Playing catch up as usual. Buckle up It’s going to be an active week folks.
  22. We all know this baby is trending north. Give me a 100 mile jog please.
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