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Yanksfan

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Everything posted by Yanksfan

  1. Yanksfan
    6z RGEM is north.
  2. Yanksfan
    Yet there were continued incremental improvements in the upper levels with less confluence/ stronger WAR. The north creeps may very well continue up until start time.
  3. Yanksfan
    No we don’t necessarily need the Pacific to cooperate to get a snowstorm, but it’s encouraging to see the latest long range guidance showing a much improved PNA. GEFS and EPS are hinting at a possible KU pattern developing at the end of their runs.
  4. Yanksfan
    Does anyone have the latest ENSO forecast graph? At the very least it looks like the Nina has peaked out.
  5. Yanksfan
    I couldn’t care less what it shows. Above normal temps coinciding with above normal snowfall is becoming the new norm. Torch away as long as I get my 40+ inches.
  6. Yanksfan
    This winter like most will come down to the NAO. There are good signs that we will have episodes of blocking which will certainly help our cause, but will it be a dominating force or just brief occurrences? Unfortunately the NAO is a very difficult feature to forecast especially in the long range.
  7. Yanksfan
    I yearn for the winters when I was a kid… pattern flip to cold around Thanksgiving followed by snow chances in December into January. Around mid month comes the dreaded week long January thaw (I like to refer it as halftime), then the 2nd half of winter rolls in with a blockbuster storm for good measure.
  8. Yanksfan
    We better hope so. A strong one and you might as well cancel winter.
  9. Yanksfan
    6 fatalities now reported in NJ. Sad situation.
  10. Yanksfan
    What made 3/5/01 so painful was the big hype of the storm. I’ll never forget the snowfall map Al Roker showing 2-3 feet for the eastern half of NJ, while the western half was 3-4 feet two days before the event! That bust forever changed TV forecasters methods when it comes to a potential major event. They have become much more conservative when it comes to predicting snowfall amounts.
  11. Yanksfan
    Don’t. Ever. Say. That. Date. Again.
  12. Yanksfan
    The outflow with Ida is textbook. Won’t be long before it’s upgraded to hurricane status if not already there.
  13. Yanksfan
  14. Yanksfan
    I remember seeing an interesting program on tv a couple of years back on global warming. As the earth continues to warm there will come a point where too much fresh water from the melting northern polar cap will mix into the Atlantic thus shutting down the currents and triggering an ice age in the northern half of North America that could last for hundreds of years. So you’re half right. Different cause but in the end the same result.
  15. Yanksfan
    That’s the reason why I despise the summer and relish the cold and snow of winter. Thus my avatar and name.
  16. Yanksfan
    Whether it’s wishcasting or not the radar is exploding down south. I would not be surprised to see a northward shift tomorrow.
  17. Yanksfan
    1010 Wins calling for a general 6-10 across the area. The Met mentioned there will be a mix occurring in locations by Friday morning but that is subject to change.
  18. Yanksfan
    Don’t look at the GFS thermals. With that track it’s a big snowstorm for all taken verbatim of course.
  19. Yanksfan
    GFS ensembles are way west.
  20. Yanksfan
    GFS ensembles show 1.5 qpf area wide. Quite impressive for a storm still 5 days away.
  21. Yanksfan
    It’s in the New England forum. It shows 8-12 area wide.
  22. Yanksfan
    It will be interesting to see if the storm slows down/retrogrades in future runs. More often than not it doesn’t pan out.
  23. Yanksfan
    What I meant to say was this could be another below normal snowfall season. Let’s hope things will pick up once we get shorter wave spacing later in the season.
  24. Yanksfan
    I know it’s only late January but this is shaping up to being another snowless winter. This would make it 3 years in a row. Flashback of the 1980’s.
  25. Yanksfan
    We just have to face the facts that in all likelihood this will be the 3rd consecutive winter where the PAC refuses to cooperate despite the overall pattern as a whole reshuffles each ensuing winter. This winter season would hurt the most with a -NAO and we still can’t cash in. Just mind boggling.
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