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Yanksfan

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Everything posted by Yanksfan

  1. Good to hear. Looks like we're good to go. The only fly in the ointment is the marginal temps in place. We need to slow this storm down a bit so it arrives after sundown. That way we can get maximum snowfall with no sun angle issues and longer duration event.
  2. Encouraging to see as I wake up this morning the GFS clean up its act with being so dry. 6z qpf map more in line with the other models.
  3. That was a screwy run by the Nam. If you never look at the snowfall map and only focus on the surface plots, you would think its a bigger hit for north Jersey.
  4. Wow. Euro and RGEM remain steadfast for a major hit. I hope its the correct solution. We will find out soon enough.
  5. Yep it is surprising what the Nam is doing. I know the global models can do some wonky stuff from time to time with qpf close to an event. Personally my favorite model with an impending snowstorm is the RGEM.
  6. That's odd. If I'm not mistaken the EURO normally has a dry bias while the NAM shows the juicier solutions.
  7. I ended up with 4 inches. Storm is winding down.
  8. Weather porn at its finest. The pic alone is avatar worthy.
  9. NE forum says it ticked SE and was flatter which is good but needs more trending.
  10. You had to bring up that date again? The ultimate weenie storm that never materialized. Give me a 3 footer and I wouldn't care if we torch into the 80's after that.
  11. Lets hope the north trend continues. Won't take much to get those heavier snows up into NYC metro.
  12. Probably the snow fall rates. Radar looking really juicy.
  13. Meteorologist Jeff Smith did mention the snow struggling to get into our region due to dry air. Maybe we'll be pleasantly surprised overnight. I'm so snow starved I would sign up for an inch. How depressing.
  14. Putting my cold/snow bias aside, these CAD setups are a pain in the *ss to forecast. They are often full of surprises. Looking at the colder trends in the past 24 hours has my attention, especially the EURO who usually has a warm thermal bias. That's a big red flag. I believe chances have increased for a mid November winter storm redux with mostly a snow to sleet scenario.
  15. Looking at the surface plots Nam shows a more robust front end dump. Need to see clown maps to confirm.
  16. Weather underground currently has my area receiving 3-5 inches before the changeover.
  17. Transfer looks sloppy but pops a weak coastal in time to keep a lot of the area in snow.
  18. GFS coming in colder this run. initial wave is much weaker. Let's see if it transfers in time...
  19. I've been through worse. The winter of 2001/2002 comes to mind, and don't get me started with the 1980's other than a few big storms once in a great while.
  20. If we don't get a least an advisory snow event out of this pattern, I give up.
  21. I thought February was supposed to be rockin'? Even the conservative forecasters predicted it. This winter makes me sick.
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