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Everything posted by Yanksfan
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December 16-17, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Yanksfan replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Storm total for me is 8”. It’s not the 12+ I was expecting, but a good storm nonetheless.- 1,011 replies
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Which seemed to be a slam dunk blizzard yesterday, everybody is freaking out with the sudden NW trends of the models today. I for one didn’t see that coming, but the Euro stopped my worries. Either the models will stand pat from here on out or what I think will happen is a correction back SE.
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It looks like it’s south and east to me. Hard to tell with the 24 hr panels.
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I’d rather not have the wind aspect of the storm materialize. It cuts down on snow growth potential.
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Ukie is concerning to me cause the Euro tends to follow suit. I guess we’ll see in a bit.
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This is 12z model madness at its finest. 3 model runs, 3 different solutions. Ok Euro what do you have to say?
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The GFS as of late has been doing too much waffling for my liking, while the EURO has been holding steadfast with a hugger solution. I’m not buying the EURO either. My gut tells me in the end there will be a compromise between the two models. Something similar what the EPS depicts where the low exits off Delmarva/ Cape May followed by a motion ENE.
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I am. Thus far we have 4 named storms on June 25th. We got a legit shot of rivaling the 2005 hyper season of 28 storms.
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2019 ENSO
Yanksfan replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That doesn’t bode well for snow fanatics like myself where I reside if those conditions persist into next winter. That would make it three clunker years in a row. -
Couldn't help it. I just had to look. If we had blocking it would have been a 2 footer throughout the area.
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Numerous locations in Jersey reported 40+, While areas in NY state were 50+! By far the greatest snowstorm to hit our area in recorded history. I can only imagine this forum if an impending storm of that magnitude was approaching. The server would crash for sure.
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Oh well looks like the end of another crap fest of a winter. Onto tracking the coronavirus.
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I wouldn't be so sure of that. I thought I read that we could be facing a strong Nina next winter. That's not conducive for snow.
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The only way to save this winter would be a March Blizzard 2001 reverse redux where the storm hits us with all its fury.
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February 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Yanksfan replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
although unlikely, it can be worse next winter. We could be shutout. -
February 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Yanksfan replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
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Good track. Should of been a snowier result. GFS is unreliable with thermals this far out.
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I need to sell the house and move to Maine.
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Yep. So much for the the solar minimum giving us blocking this winter. No where to be found. Still keeping hopes alive we get a rogue snowstorm before spring in this god awful pattern.
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The only thing that would make up for this snowless winter is a HECS. Give me a blizzard of 1888 redux. Go big or go home.
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Unbelievable. You just can't make this stuff up. If I had to guess, Central Park will probably end up top 5 in snowless winters. What a train wreck.
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That's back to back epic fail winter snowfall forecasts by many mets. I don't recall that ever happening before.
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Euro run even though it was still a miss has kept me from throwing in the towel. Good improvements at H5. I'll give it to Thursday 0Z runs before pulling the plug on this one.