Yanksfan

Yes I know it’s January 5th, but I’m starting to get gravely concerned with snow prospects this winter. I’m getting those 71/72, 01/02 vibes. Too many weather anomalies going against us; consistent trough out west, firehouse pac jet, not to mention the dreaded SE Atlantic ridge. Heck we couldn’t even score with a -5 AO! At this point I would sign up for one big snowstorm in this dogsh*t pattern.

Just your run of the mill 15 ft snowstorm with sub zero temps. Sign me up!!!

What an absolute disgrace.

Calm down and let’s put things into perspective. We got a long way to go with this one. Can this beast go Benchmark and crush the I-95 area? It has the potential. However at this far out juncture an inland runner to even a missed phase is on the table as well.

12Z CMC trending towards a larger front end snow dump for end of week storm.

What ever happened to the good OL’ days when you had a storm coming up the coast with DC to Boston gets snow blitzed. The past decade or so everything’s all about the timing and threading the needle.

Ah the southern slider solution. No worries. At this point in time I’d rather see this than a cutter. Growing potential for a winter storm threat late next week. This block means business.

Yep it sure is. Multiple threats during the run with the big snow bomb out in fantasy land for good measure.

Thank goodness. I started putting up Xmas lights this past weekend and it was uncomfortable to say the least. This upcoming mild spell comes at the right time.

Let it torch in November for all I could care as long as we flip to a colder regime around Thanksgiving.

Not only is there more trough interaction, but the WAR is stronger as well. If the Euro is correct, there’s a very good chance of a capture/ track up the eastern seaboard. Interesting times ahead.

Part of me wants a Cat 4 cane just off the VA capes roll up the coastline. Just think of the angst this board would have to endure.

Please don’t tell me we’re in for another clunker this winter.

Heavy wind driven snow. 34*. Where has this been all winter?

It’s going to be a challenge for me to attain normal snowfall average which is 30”. I currently have 17”.

Other then a couple of moderate events it’s been an awful winter. Im going to need a MECS in March just to get to normal annual snowfall but I’m not holding my breath on it. Already looking forward to a better setup next winter with an El Niño forcasted.

ICON brings the V-day storm up the coast.

I guess we can put that February torch talk to bed.

I’m surprised nobody is mentioning about this possibility. It could lead to faster pressure falls/earlier ULL closing. The meso models would pick up on this as we get closer to the event if it were to occur.

Great. Now it’s NAM vs the world.

Big red flag. Euro has a tendency to hold back energy. Since the Euro doesn’t show it there’s good reason to discard the GFS run.

Ugh. Every time that storm is mentioned I shudder. All the models were locked and loaded 48 hours before the event and then one by one they pull the rug out from me. The mother of all busts.

If the ULL closes up to the south of us it will be.

I wonder if the Euro is focusing on the wrong wave. I guess we’ll see in future runs.

Snowman even though we have different biases with cold/snow vs warm/sunny, I couldn’t agree more with your statement. This winter from my point of view has been incredibly frustrating with progressive patterns, wave spacing and what not. Is the potential there for a whopper snowstorm? Of course there is. With this being a week away it could also just as easily with a ridge break down end up as a fish storm or not even develop altogether. I refuse to get pulled in to another “potential blockbuster storm” only to get the rug get pulled out from me. If this threat still holds up and we’re 72 hours from the event then I’ll bite. One last thing, I’m very sorry for your recent loss.