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Yanksfan

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Everything posted by Yanksfan

  1. Meh, I’ll wait till the overnight runs on Friday before I buy into this. Far too often these thread the needle deals goes poof on us although at this early juncture it’s always good to have the CMC/EURO on board.
  2. Don’t worry Ant. I just took one for the team. I’m no longer NutleyBlizzard.
  3. GFS at 6Z is on board for a snowstorm for next Tuesday. EURO continues with the threat as well.
  4. Sure it’s the 384 GFS, but taken verbatim that’s a HECS pattern right there.
  5. Looked like the beginnings of an east coast snow mauler at the end of the run. One can only dream.
  6. As we already know there will be other factors in play this winter. What will the PNA and NAO do?
  7. If there’s any indication what we’re seeing thus far this fall with all the coastal development, I would have gone higher with the precipitation up into the mid Atlantic . My thinking in the 125%-150% range. Overall good forecast.
  8. A raging Pac jet is the last thing we need this winter. We all know what happened the past three years with this stubborn feature.
  9. Wow I didn’t realize that Decembers have been that warm in recent times. I yearn for the days growing up when most years followed certain guidelines. Turning colder towards Thanksgiving with some flakes in the air, followed by bouts of cold and snowy conditions up until mid January when the 7-10 thaw would kick in. Finally the snow and cold bouts would come roaring back till the end of February/early March. Those winters around here are a distant memory.
  10. Best case scenario for snow lovers would be a primarily Niña based background for December. Nina’s typically are front loaded winters, followed by Nino coupling in January.
  11. For arguments sake let’s say we peak at a strong ElNino that ends up being decoupled. What effects good or bad would influence the upcoming winter?
  12. That’s a snow weenie’s wet dream, but I’ll take the conservative approach. If the models still shows dateline forcing with a strong Nino by the time October rolls around then it’ll get my attention. As of now from my perspective it’s like looking at a blizzard on the GFS at hr 240.
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