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Yanksfan

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Everything posted by Yanksfan

  1. If your concern is that we end up with a cutter, you shouldn't worry. Trough is not sharp enough for such a solution unless we see marked changes at the upper levels in the next couple of days. If this thing phases at the optimum time I would expect a BM track or just inside.
  2. GFS was not far from a much bigger hit. Much better northern stream interaction this run. I'm sure some ensemble members will be big hits.
  3. Good improvements with the 12z suite thus far. More work needs to be done to get this up the coast but nothing insurmountable.
  4. Northern stream is a bit faster though. Let's see if it catches up with the southern stream.
  5. Looking over last nights Euro run this morning even though the storm went wide right, there were big changes at the upper levels compared to 12z. If only that northern stream was a bit faster. Euro came precariously close to a monster solution.
  6. I'm pretty sure you mean the 12z EPS cause even though it only goes out to 144hrs, the 18z EPS are even better.
  7. It's all about timing with the northern and southern streams which always makes me skeptical in these thread the needle setups. Not to mention the Euro is either out to lunch or onto something.
  8. Not to mention the GFS is underestimating the precip on the western side of the storm. Its an issue I've seen this model do at times in the past with the big storms.
  9. Dynamics would be at play. A low that intense would create its own cold air.
  10. Believe me It wont be. Taken verbatim that's snow down to the coast. Typical warm thermal bias with the global models. Good thing at this point is we have a signal for a strong storm. Bad thing is my Superbowl party could be in serious jeopardy.
  11. It had me fooled. Without looking at thermal maps you would think that's a raging blizzard with a bombing sub 980 low on the BM.
  12. Wowzers. Can I see a clown map so I could at least dream?
  13. GFS with the day 10 superbowl bomb. It gets down to 954mb as it reaches our latitude while showing snow for areas only NW. I think not!
  14. I wouldn't throw in the towel at this point Anthony. I'm beyond aggravated as you are, but I have this sneaky suspicion that we're going to get a KU event sometime in February/March. With a split flow along with an improving western ridge, the pattern looks very active. It's only a matter of time before everything lines up for us.
  15. An intensifying low track to the BM can do wonders even in a subpar pattern this time of year. Just ask the 240 hr GFS,
  16. I assume Euro is a no go for this weekend? TT site is down again. Can't catch a break this winter.
  17. You know winter's a failure when you hope for a KU event just to achieve average annual snowfall.
  18. As our winter goes up in flames, PB tries to calm everyone down.
  19. Does anyone have the latest MJO plots? We could use some good news in here.
  20. 6z GFS says break out the yardsticks as it shows a day 10 snow bomb. In this winter to forget why do I keep torturing myself?
  21. Would yellow stone be big enough for you?
  22. Looks like its got potential for sure. Can't worry about if it's showing snow or rain at this point, but a track like that favors snow.
  23. With the MJO heading towards 8-1 there really is no excuse but for a 6 week productive pattern to settle in. I believe February will rock on this board a la 2014 redux.
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