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Yanksfan

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Everything posted by Yanksfan

  1. Yanksfan
    There's a lot of chatter in the NE thread about this storm ultimately coming further north due to the fact of models underestimating the northern stream with a weak ElNino being present.
  2. Yanksfan
    GFS Para was on its way to a major hit until it reached the coast of Virginia and the run gets wonky. The center "jumps" offshore. Looks to me like it may be the low chasing convection. Despite that, it was a big improvement from the 0Z run.
  3. Yanksfan
    GFS is clueless. Its run to run changes have been downright comical. Thank god this mess of a model will be taken out to pasture next month. I'm more inclined to follow the GFS Para. Only problem is its always painfully slow to come out on tidbits. Hopefully this issue will be fixed when it officially takes over.
  4. Yanksfan
    I agree. There are many times where these big ticket events end up further north. 6z GFS was close to a big hit for us. Southern Jersey on southward gets dumped while we still get some decent snows up here.
  5. Yanksfan
    After a long day I'm finally getting to unwind on my recliner. What's normally a 20 minute commute from my job took nearly 3 hours. I measured 6.5'' when I got home. Great storm.
  6. Yanksfan
    Euro+Ukie combo is tough to beat especially this close to an event. We'll see if the Meso models tick colder at 18Z.
  7. Yanksfan
    Good to hear from you Tom! Many members are eagerly awaiting your thoughts of this upcoming winter.
  8. Yanksfan
    Even in the most severe winters there are going to be relaxation/reload periods. If not looking at the calendar per say, winter runs from Dec. 1st thru April 1st. That's a long period of time for sustained cold. No one should expect a wire to wire winter cause you're really reaching for the moon if you do.
  9. Yanksfan
    Check out the daily ENSO numbers. There's a very good chance this Nino will achieve moderate status. That being said, DT going with a 200% call is bold. He normally likes to hedge a bit. With him being so gungho this time around gets my attention.
  10. Yanksfan
    February we will have a crippling triple phased blizzard when a slow moving miller A coastal gets caught up by the polar vortex. Folks down in DC will see upwards of 2 feet. Further north towards Philly will have 2-3 foot amounts. Northern half of NJ-NYC metro 3 feet plus. SNE upwards of 4 feet.
  11. Yanksfan
    So let me get this straight. NOAA going with warm and dry conditions while JB says armageddon is coming. Someone is going to look foolish.
  12. Yanksfan
    Perhaps it'll be a year where they come right up the coastline and DC to Boston gets crushed. Just like the good ol' days.
  13. Yanksfan
    Anyone have a start date?
  14. Yanksfan
    October 30th.
  15. Yanksfan
    Weak El Nino Modoki...check. Warm Atlantic SST...check. Solar minimum...check. End result...95-96 redux. Go big or go home.
  16. Yanksfan
    Currently under a flood warning here in Essex county, N.J. Absolutely pouring out there.
  17. Yanksfan
    Hurricane Belle got me started.
  18. Yanksfan
    When I first got into this weather hobby back in the day as a kid growing up, John Coleman was one of my favorite weathermen on TV. He was truly one of the greats. R.I.P. John.
  19. Yanksfan
    I like to watch Lee Goldberg. To me he's the best weatherman on TV. When there's an impending storm, I'll also check out Nick Gregory. That's it. I won't even put on the weather channel anymore.
  20. Yanksfan
    Wow. What a gut wrenching loss by the Yankees. One of the worst post season losses I've ever seen.
  21. Yanksfan
    I'll never forget Al Roker's snowmap a couple of days before the "so called" event. He had the eastern half of jersey along with NYC metro and Long Island at 2-3 feet. Everywhere west of Morristown was 3-4 feet! I ended up with a few paltry inches. What a bust of a storm! Still irks me to this day.
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