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About AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  • Birthday 05/05/1987

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    Bel Air, MD

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  1. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    November/December Medium/Long Range Disco

    Yeah, it will be a minor snowstorm.
  2. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    Winter Outlook 2018-2019

    Nice job, Don. So far in the first half of this November, the Scandinavian block has been a dominant 500mb feature. This continues on models through November 26, making it a November leading anomaly. Since 1948, using both the + there, and - signal surrounding it, these are the top matches. Rolled forward to December, it's a really nice -AAM signal, with the +/- balancing act in the Pacific vs Atlantic January is blocking Dec-Feb Temps
  3. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    El Nino 2018-2019

    It seems like Mountain Torque..
  4. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    November 15-16 First Frozen Obs/Nowcast

    The orientation makes me think it will be a good Winte.r
  5. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    Farmer's Almanac 2018-19 Tally

    I'd like to see this too. I tracked it when I was a teenager and it was ~+25% vs random
  6. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Looking good continual https://imgur.com/a/igUvUJc
  7. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    It's not going to end, models bringing back wet pattern. https://imgur.com/a/igUvUJc
  8. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    November/December Medium/Long Range Disco

    There's your storm. https://imgur.com/a/sskOzSd
  9. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    November Banter

    Look at this Scandinavian block. I still contest that February 21 last year was no fluke.
  10. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    El Nino 2018-2019

    -PNA now getting sheared out and stuff. Kind of ridiculous. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_12z/ensloopmref.html
  11. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    November/December Medium/Long Range Disco

    Looking at satellite, it's hard to imagine such a long period of dry is coming.
  12. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    October/November Mid/Long Range Disco

    Just like I said, the pattern is turning completely different. Watch the -NAO not really verify minus transient.
  13. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    El Nino 2018-2019

    When talking about ENSO, I'm mostly referring to the North Pacific. +300dm centered there for more than a few days hasn't happened since July.
  14. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    El Nino 2018-2019

    Here's 6z GFS ensembles, hr72-204 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html Now the 12z Euro is completely different.
  15. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    El Nino 2018-2019

    12z GFS ensembles are already trending away from -PNA-centered. It will continue.