StormchaserChuck!

This in the North Pacific/Alaska looks like a good +subsurface warming burst coming. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html

The high rainfall increases chances for -NAO Winter..

I don't know, everyone is role playing I guess. (so someone would open up) It's pretty much a ridiculous thing to hold out hope at this point. It's long gone.. (silly in the context of truth.)

The drought is in the upper atmosphere. Wait until towering cumulonibus start happening again and watch how Drought is at the surface.

Surface precipitable water is pretty much way above average to stay across the Northern Hemisphere, like +3 sigma.

What is the mass weight of clouds? It's crazy...

I've seen it before. . the warm pool in Nino 4 may act as a polarity to Nino 3/3.4 down the line

Precipitable water of the Northern Hemisphere increased significantly in the Summer of 2016. June I think.

No sign of +PNA in the Pacific anytime soon. It will be interesting to see if a +subsurface wave develops in the coming time. Subsurface +3 is gone on TAO maps. (these are much more accurate than CPC). In my experience going back to the early 2000s this is a Neutral look.

Anyway, if you think that is bad, check this out It's been happening for so long...

Preparing for big crazy patterns in the Fall

me llamo

I want to make a point of the 850mb Atlantic ridge in the Wintertime which was +30% of normal! More likely for these storms to drift further NW to the coast I think.

All of this El Nino stuff.. and it's completely going the other way right now. I think people get lost in climatology of yearly cycle perhaps.