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AfewUniversesBelowNormal

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Everything posted by AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  1. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    Look what showed up, +SST anomalies on the STJ part of both sides of North America, like we had last year. (I wonder if it will be a similar season of hits.)
  2. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Banter 2019

    Just Wow. https://imgur.com/Slots0t
  3. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    WWA for 3-4" on May 21 in Denver.
  4. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    MAY 20, 2019 High Risk

    95%? Big time bust..
  5. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    2019 ENSO

    On topic please. All the models have +neutral or El Nino. I think we are in kind of a phase since-2013 where warm is the norm. SOI and NOI are plunging right now. Usually in a developing La Nina you would see some well defined SSTs in the northern latitudes right now, (not what's happening).
  6. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    April/May Medium-Long range

    The 12z Euro has such a negative NAO that we even have a snowstorm!
  7. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread

    Feels like it's in the 70s.
  8. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    Mid to Late May 2019 Severe Threats

    eh, the stuff moving across OKC now really low cap the potential today.
  9. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    Wow, powerful ridge coming up. Cornerstone feature. It could lead to a cooler Summer
  10. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    El Nino is kind of dying to cooler enso so instead of 10-12 storms we could do 13-16
  11. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Banter 2019

    Weird
  12. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    It's not raining.. there were 2 wind gusts where I thought there would be showers.
  13. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    2019 ENSO

    The North Pacific looks very El Ninoish for the next 15 days. Subsurface is cooling. -OLR for the first time in a long time near 180W is going to keep us away from a +north Pacific Hadley cell though, despite neutral/negative ENSO.
  14. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    2019 ENSO

    Subsurface is Weak La Nina, but the +PNA is stringent. Through the next 15 days, wonder why the disconnect.
  15. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    ^Its been record cold Stratosphere early in the season Nov-Dec 2017, 2018.
  16. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    -NAO.. definitely makes a difference *g
  17. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    We are definitely veering back to -PNA tint though! The GOA Low is a dominant feature days 4-10.
  18. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    The GOA low is really a force since April 1, El Nino pattern.
  19. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    April/May Medium-Long range

    The -AO coming up makes me think if we keep this pattern Jun-Aug
  20. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    I estimate about 3" total here. A popcorn shower over bel air dumped 2", haven't seen that for a while.
  21. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    April/May Medium-Long range

    Lol more exotic pattern shaping up the globe is moving!
  22. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Cold May begats thunderstorm-less Summer
  23. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    Nice day out today. It could be a rainy pattern I think.
  24. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume

    It looks like a -AO period really takes hold in the medium and long range.
  25. AfewUniversesBelowNormal

    May Discobs 2019

    Yeah, it didn't seem like it was raining for as much as it was puddleing. This happened last Summer and Fall, and was the first time since the 1990s.
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