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AfewUniversesBelowNormal

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Everything posted by AfewUniversesBelowNormal

  1. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The eastern subsurface stuff may only be a glitch.. models going la nina not right imo.
  2. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    The atmosphere is still very much Nino, although -AAM 500mb is somewhat appearing. You have to wonder how many "parallel realities" of enso there have been since the Winter lol.
  3. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Slight risk for thunderstorms today.. NYC to DC looks like the opposite of what I'm experiencing fwiw
  4. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Return of El Nino pattern
  5. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    This is kind of a disappointing time of year. The last few days have been especially cool. SSTs are record warm, 2005-like. ENSO is cooling too.
  6. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I'd expect much more melt next year, personally.
  7. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It looks like another cold wave is developing in the subsurface.
  8. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    NAO has been negative since April This means it will be a SE ridge Winter lol
  9. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
  10. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I wonder how many times in recorded history we've melted at the North Pole? 1 time as far as I know. The trend continues stronger
  11. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    This is interesting
  12. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
  13. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Yeah, I can see how you would think La Nina based on the current subsurface, but the atmosphere is still very much El Nino.
  14. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Another record showing up in about 7 days.
  15. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It's feeling like tomorrow could be upgraded to a Slight risk.
  16. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I like the PDO too. These summertime storms off of New Foundland are a great sign for the Winter.
  17. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It looks like they are using +NAO repetition.
  18. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Back to La Nina today lol
  19. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    I had a feeling we could have a big hit this year. It will be hard though with El Nino conditions present, and only 12-13 named storms looking likely.
  20. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    -QBO/El Nino is ideal. Looks like we'll switch in November. lol https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/correlation/qbo.data
  21. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    You will love this.. Cold Pool. Winter NAO index is like -1.2. (SD is 0.55)
  22. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    It's been more or less -AO since May 1.
  23. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    Big difference between Isotherm depth and SST. It does look like we might start a warming trend in the subsurface.
  24. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    El Nino kind of building back toward the surface in latest subsurface maps. The cold pool will prevent us from breaking +0.7 ONI
  25. AfewUniversesBelowNormal
    LWX is pretty good. The NWS still had radar clutter when my reality had moved far out of that..
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