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I've no skill in LR forecasting but the late start to the FALL frost-freeze season, NAEFS, and modeling through the 10th suggests we should be closer to normal this November than the positive departure we'll end up with in October. So when will the first snow accumulate I95 northwestward, then in NYC? Can we muster one more tropical RH contributor to the NYC subforum? Edited body at 742AM-Nov 2, to add the October 2021 CP +4.1F departure from normal, to use as comparison for NOV 2021 departure from normal.