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October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm


WxWatcher007
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1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Like watching the grass grow waiting for the real meat of storm to pivot in. Overnight Saturday into Sunday has been pegged for worst of it. Winds and rains have been off and on. Nothing noteworthy yet.

Don't hold your breath.

Heavy rains and some gusty winds that are underwhelming.

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7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Don't hold your breath.

Heavy rains and some gusty winds that are underwhelming.

I’ve said it already, the winds are nothing out of the ordinary for us. Rains look pretty stout though. 3-6”+ likely.

at least it’s a change from the mundane 

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@vortex95 @jbenedet Would be interested to hear how would you counter Ryan and Tomer Burg's claim that this is merely a warm seclusion with no subtropical characteristics?

Personally I think this is well on its way to being subtropical.  You don't get a burst of convection like that near the center over 25C waters with thicknesses near 580 from upper-level/synoptic forcing alone like Tomer claims.

https://x.com/burgwx/status/2103912607010750893

https://x.com/RyanWeather/status/2103917149110653089

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