Hurricane Melissa

[HillsdaleMIWeather]

Officially a Cat 5

[nycwinter]

7 minutes ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

Recon measured 158kts in the north eyewall at the surface. This equates to 180-185mph range for surface winds.

those winds were not measured at the surface..

[Superstorm]

5:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 27
Location: 16.4°N 77.8°W
Moving: W at 3 mph
Min pressure: 917 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph


.

[Superstorm]

5:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 27
Location: 16.4°N 77.8°W
Moving: W at 3 mph
Min pressure: 917 mb
Max sustained: 160 mph


.

[TheDreamTraveler]

Third cat 5 of the season. Absolutely insane.

[jsw]

I downloaded these this morning.

[Windspeed]

Most recent long-range radar scan. The eyewall remains uniform and intense. It does appear a concentric outer band is trying to form around the periphery of the eyewall. We still have 24-28 hours until landfall. That is plenty of time for an EWRC to begin. The forecast is for Melissa to be a Category 5 at landfall, but internal structural changes could still bring down that intensity to Category 4. But again, that is not necessarily a good thing for the island, as the windfield would expand east towards higher populated areas. I actually do think the intensity will fluctuate down by landfall as I still think outer banding will get its act together and weaken the small eye by tonight. It is very difficult for a high-end TC like this to maintain that intensity for that many hours without fluctuations. Time will tell.

[NorthHillsWx]

No words. Just a beast this morning 

[Jefflaw77]

When is it projected to turn north?

[NJwx85]

8 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said:

When is it projected to turn north?

I believe it’s already West of the official track.

[NorthHillsWx]

22 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

I believe it’s already West of the official track.

It definitely is. Looks like it’s just now starting to gain some latitude 

[hawkeye_wx]

31 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said:

When is it projected to turn north?

This afternoon is when models have it taking a fairly sharp right turn.

[cptcatz]

Recon first pass: 155 kt FL winds, pressure 912, incredible dropsonde

[Brian5671]

40 inches of rain possible NE Jamaica

[SnoSki14]

Just looking at radar and satellite you'd think this monster would harmlessly bypass Jamaica to the south. They would need a miracle now 

[eyewall]

Hopefully there is an ERC prior to landfall.