August 2026

[mikeysed]

1 inch in last hour. But .77 of that was in 25 minutes. NW essex county suburbs

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

same weather down there basically they are at the back edge

Right so a delay but not postponed

[NEG NAO]

13 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Flash Flood Warning for... Southern Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey... Essex County in northeastern New Jersey... Hudson County in northeastern New Jersey... Eastern Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey... Northeastern Union County in northeastern New Jersey... Bronx County in southeastern New York... Kings (Brooklyn) County in southeastern New York... New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York... Queens County in southeastern New York... Richmond (Staten Island) County in southeastern New York...

 

Until 745 PM EDT.

 

At 539 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.5 to 1.5 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

no convection at all here in north central NJ - also the whole mess is moving east fast back edge near Allentown

[mob1]

Heavy rain here, exceeding an inch in about 25 minutes. Some decent street flooding but nothing crazy. 

[steve392]

Up to 1" of rain already 

[JerseyWx]

1.2" here so far.  Had brutal downpours on 287 coming home.  Lots of runoff and you could see the storm drains were taxed.  

[kat5hurricane]

Absolutely pouring, rain is relentless the last 30-40 minutes

[cannoliman42]

PIX11 predicting 1-2" of rain for the City and Long Island through tonight. That's an irresponsible forecast based on the models. Wouldn't be surprised if somebody ends up with 7" somewhere, with a widespread 3-4".

Also: absolutely pouring in western Brooklyn. Probably already at 1.5"+.

[NEG NAO]

Just now, cannoliman42 said:

PIX11 predicting 1-2" of rain for the City and Long Island through tonight. That's a irresponsible forecast based on the models. Wouldn't be surprised if somebody ends up with 7" somewhere, with a widespread 3-4".

7 inches ? wow

[Nibor]

I am probably the wettest I’ve ever been. What a wild commute. 

[JonClaw]

Sounds like a monsoon outside

[hudsonvalley21]

0.99” in the Davis so far. 

[TriPol]

Prediction: Central Park - .10" 

[FPizz]

.90" so far 

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Prediction: Central Park - .10" 

they must have the rain gauge under trees - also this araa of precip is moving fast and should be east of NJ by 9 PM

 

[EasternLI]

32 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Headed straight for us this time east of the city. HRRR gone crazy last run. I think this time we (most) of us really get it. 

Yeah agree.

[Stormlover74]

Yikes

..A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT FOR CENTRAL KENT COUNTY...

 

At 618 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was located over Dover Speedway, or over Dover, moving northeast at 30 mph. Damage from the tornado has been reported in Dover.

[IrishRob17]

5 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

0.99” in the Davis so far. 

.85” thru the Davis here. 

[hudsonvalley21]

1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said:

.85” thru the Davis here. 

Looks like some more to come thru in an hour or so from western NJ

[NEG NAO]

Starting to Thunder here in Woodbridge TWP. NJ

[steve392]

Been non-stop pouting rain since it started.  Reminds me a bit like Ida a few years back. 

Glad training was done at 2pm today. 

[mob1]

Tornado warning for the Five Towns area 

[jm1220]

Long Beach about to get nailed. Moderate to heavy rain here. 

[binbisso]

Almost 2" in the last hour at cpk

[Chinook]

two possible tornadoes near JFK

[EasternLI]

[WestBabylonWeather]

I need to drive back to Babylon from patchogue in a bit. Sigh. 

[dmillz25]

Waterspout/tor by Jamaica  bay

[donsutherland1]

Over the past hour, Central Park picked up 1.82" of rain. That is the highest hourly amount on any August 20th since hourly data was recorded. The old hourly mark was 0.63" from 1950.

A slow-moving cold front will likely bring showers or thundershowers to the region into late tonight. The New York City area will see a general 2"-4" rainfall with local amounts of 5" by 8 am tomorrow. 

The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Friday could see highs in the upper 70s with some additional showers or thundershowers. The weekend could feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather. The greatest chance for rain will be on Saturday.

Somewhat cooler than normal weather will then extend into at least the middle of next week. No excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -35.32 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.061 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (near normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[NEG NAO]

Tornado Warning Nassau County

TOR from KOKX