It's coming? 1/31-2/1

[WeatherGeek2025]

6 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

People posting the cmc para on twitter… getting desperate out here lol

can you post it?

[nycsnow]

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

can you post it?

https://x.com/lclimateguy/status/2016599049235726460?s=46

[tdp146]

Ouch. Forky just added a question mark to the thread title. Do I need to bet the under on this thing again? 

[nycsnow]

Icon looks to be a miss but pretty big shift west 

[Wannabehippie]

 

 

[NJwx85]

3 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

https://x.com/lclimateguy/status/2016599049235726460?s=46

Sorry, you’re not getting snow back to Eastern PA with a surface low 200 miles South of the benchmark.

[forkyfork]

3 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

Ouch. Forty just added a question mark to the thread title. Do I need to bet the under on this thing again? 

i don't know what to think tbh

[WeatherGeek2025]

5 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

https://x.com/lclimateguy/status/2016599049235726460?s=46

my initial thinking would be this 

[donsutherland1]

The RGEM looks promising, too. 

[donsutherland1]

7 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

Ouch. Forty just added a question mark to the thread title. Do I need to bet the under on this thing again? 

It's a good thing he didn't add "Maybe." We'd all be paying royalties to Carly Rae Jepsen who owns the intellectual property rights to the word.

[nycsnow]

Icon 

[MarcmmKU]

The problem is that we were the jackpot 6 days out. You never want to be the jackpot 6 days out that's the kiss of death.

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Icon 

its actually closer to the 84 hr. NAM which would probably be close to that 90 hour ICON - thats scary - maybe the almost totally out to sea idea was not right with better data being fed into the models now as we get closer

[SACRUS]

 

ICON(job) hopefully 

 

12z

[Nibor]

8 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

my initial thinking would be this 

Did, did you color that in?

[NEG NAO]

4 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Did, did you color that in?

he did something similar a couple days ago - notice there is no model name or date on it -WeatherGeek Model

[RockawayRowdies]

No legend either.
It it snow? Rain? radiation level? air quality? Number of Olive Garden's per sq mile?

[CentralNJSnowman]

2 minutes ago, RockawayRowdies said:

No legend either.
It it snow? Rain? radiation level? air quality? Number of Olive Garden's per sq mile?

You just reminded me of one of my favorite websites: "Spurious Correlations".  This was the most relevant thing on there that I could find with a quick search...

 

 

[EastonSN+]

It WOULD be kind of cool to see the outer banks and Myrtle beach get buried.

[NEG NAO]

13 minutes ago, Nibor said:

 

Mt. Holly 4 PM update still has a 40% chance of snow Saturday night and 50% chance Sunday in my area- they still think the precip might reach west of NYC

[WestBabylonWeather]

23 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

i don't know what to think tbh

West shifts tonight 

[Brian5671]

We had west shifts last night but then back east overnight into today-lets see what happens this go around

[Mr. T.]

32 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Icon looks to be a miss but pretty big shift west 

Doesn't show the elongated low like it did last run. These double (and even triple) barrel lows that keep popping up typically don't happen. The models are having a tough time deciding which low will be dominate and where it would happen. I'm waiting until Saturday 6z to keep following or not like I've been. Even then I'll still glance. 100 miles is nothing in tes of which way it could swing with the time left. 

[mob1]

GFS in the early going doesn't look great

[Joe4alb]

Better, way up there ...

 

[NJwx85]

I really hate Miller A’s. Feast or famon and more often than not, the latter.

[Franklin0529]

She gone 

[Franklin0529]

I'm in till Tommorow 0z but I think the writing is on the wall here unfortunately 

[NJwx85]

2 minutes ago, Joe4alb said:

Better, way up there ...

 

It’s still a positive tilted trough and it’s actually further East than 12z.

[NJwx85]

So far East it missed everyone except Eastern NC and extreme SE VA.