MarcmmKU
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Everything posted by MarcmmKU
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yup, even down here in the swampy hot coastal plain suburbs of NYC the snow last winter was nearly all blower powder. Very odd for us. Only the mid december storm was wet. -
It will keep happening all the way through winter. I bet one of those times it might phase with the polar jet and sparks will fly.
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NYC bullseye storm. We deserved a soaker, lately we've been missing storms to our north and south.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The wet paste low ratio dense snow is the prettiest looking. It clings to everything and whitens everything up better. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
All I know is that we are way past due for a cold and snowy march. Every march for the NE coastal plain since 2019 has been basically a total shutout for any type of wintry weather. Total march snow since 2019 for central park= 0.5". -
Will it miss the city to the south?
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I'd imagine a ton of record high minima were broken last night.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'd consider it a godsend if its only +6 for the interior. That's very workable for anyone north of albany. -
Pray for Stowe.
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Amazing we finally hit 100 and it happened in an el nino summer. After all these repeat ninas we couldn't do it. Makes no sense.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For anyone on the I95 the 2030s should be significantly snowier than the 2020s. Hard to do worse than rock bottom. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Do you have any early thoughts about December? Especially for elevated interior new england? I'd be happy if it's better than the washout disaster ski month that december 2015 was. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Sure. Snowman didn't say that though. He said regardless of strength. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
snowman made the stronger claim that +qbo, +enso decembers are a slam dunk always warmer than normal REGARDLESS OF STRENGTH (his exact words go read it). 1997/2004 are weakly +qbo. He's wrong. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What part is wrong? December 1997 and 2004 were indeed +QBO, + ENSO, and below normal. 2018 near normal. Refute the claim. These are numbers not opinions. You can be warm biased without literally lying like you currently are. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Huh what are you talking about? December 1997, 2004, and 2018 were all +QBO, +ENSO and below or near normal in new england. Incredible that you can spread misinfo like this and get away without anyone calling you out. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The upcoming east coast heatwave and the recent western snowfalls is a canonical la nina feature. Yet another sign we are not yet being influenced by + enso. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino isn't really in charge in the southern hemisphere either. If it were it'd be snowing feet and feet in the northern/north central andes of chile, yet it's bone dry just like a niña. -
We'll need soakers like this once or twice a week for a month or two more to finally kill the on and off 2 year long drought.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Who said Boston's a big city (I kid) -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
December 2004? -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not always. Even northern new england isn't immune to literal torches. See December 2015. I am crossing my fingers we don't get something like this again. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cold snow > Cold dry > warm dry > warm wet. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not necessarily. I think 1997-1998 was ok for the interior. I think it's unlikely though that both the interior and coast get close to normal snowfall. At least one will probably be far below normal. The coast cause they missed out on a KU, or the interior cause it truly was an epic torch. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Food for thought is that this nino isn't really coupling well to real time observations in South America. A typical nino response down there is for lots and lots of precip in the central andes in Chile. So far bone dry and anomalously warm for may there, especially in a burgeoning strong nino.
