MarcmmKU
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Everything posted by MarcmmKU
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Right, really a bummer what looked to be a good old fashioned winter was soured by a ratter february. Least snowy february since february 2020 assuming nothing pops up last couple days of the month. Miracle march is also unlikely since march stopped being a winter month for the city as of the 2020s.
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Yup they lost it at around day 5-6 or so. Days 5-8 are very dangerous because they're close enough to take more seriously than 10 days out but far enough that the accuracy at day 7 is basically nil
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0 nor'easters that hit here since jan 22. Even that one was more of a graze for the city proper, decent hit for LI though.
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Whatever outcome gives least snow for central park is the most likely to verify
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March snow is not really a thing anymore for the coastal plain
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LOL yeah. Do we trust every model with an offshore solution or the one model on an island showing 30+" for washington dc of all places. Hmm tough decision.
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We got lucky with that warm air advection storm january but otherwise yea kinda a mediocre winter from the standpoint of snowfall. All that cold only for nyc to finish 8" below seasonal averages :/
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In fact we've never had a high impact storm with 0 euro hits this close.
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It's not that hard. Ridge axis is wrong and there's not enough separation between this and the friday system. OTS. Not a hard setup.
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Yeah I'm not buying this threat at all until euro totally caves to a gfs like solution (which it wont). We've never had a good storm without euro on board this close.
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good for ski country plus it washes away the nasty salt. fine by me
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Got to hope the cold returns late February.
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Negative PNA is like playing with fire. Can easily cut too much with it. I'd rather have +PNA and risk suppression. Historically the big ones all had +PNA too.
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Quite a bit of spread. We can start paying attention to operationals by wednesday perhaps. I'm not thrilled about the garbage pacific though. Would need the good atlantic to carry the storm.
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Generally miller B's either get too amped and become a SWFE which favor new england, or they get too flat and suppressed and start favoring delmarva. Our region is almost never favored by them!
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I think next week's storm is either and interior event, or suppressed too far south.
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Hope this doesnt turn out to be a ratter <4” February..
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Unfavorable enso you think? Nina has been so dominant in the 2020s its insane. We need a good string of niños for the latter half of the 20s to avoid the decade being another disaster like the 80s or worse.
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It's becoming increasingly clear that Sunday storm will likely be the thing we all remember the most from this winter.
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Agreed. The current cold looks too suppressive. Not surprised that the south is pulling snow while we dry out, this is their only pattern in which they get snow.
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February looks frigid and... dry
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The problem is that we were the jackpot 6 days out. You never want to be the jackpot 6 days out that's the kiss of death.
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Damn this would have rocked if the models shifted west by a lot more by now. Hard to get significant changes in the low placement 3 days out.
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Central park’s biggest snowfall in almost 5 years
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I got a hair over 8" before the sleet changeover.
