MarcmmKU
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Everything posted by MarcmmKU
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Well it affects us too. Can't have nice crisp fall weather with a death ridge planted just to our southwest. All it would take is the ridge to move east just a tiny bit and we'd also torch.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
MarcmmKU replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
The most obvious consequence has been the absence of any sort of winter weather in march. 7 torch snowless marches in the northeast in a row. -
Pesky omega block. Those things do not let up unless they are torn apart somehow. Delayed start to fall for those of us to our south and west. We appear to be on the fringe of it and thus will be only slightly AN.
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Looks like September will end up being the hottest summer month for TX/OK.
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Texas 2026 Discussion/Observations
MarcmmKU replied to Stx_Thunder's topic in Central/Western States
Not at all my area, (but it does indirectly affect our weather), but when do you think the huge ridge over the southern plains/southeast will let up? -
I bet it'll be possible to take a pleasant hike in short sleeves and shorts along the hudson bay on christmas.
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Well will the turbo ridge over oklahoma finally break down?
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Ironic that the highest dew day of the summer fell in september.
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Well, at least 2023 snowed in vermont. 2015 was an utter shut out. Not an accumulating flake even at elevation, and repeated washouts. I'm already mentally prepared for the skiing in northern VT to be garbage this december but there are certainly levels of garbage.
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How much though? 2015 levels of suck or more like 2023?
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Sorry you're not getting your desired torch late summer pattern. No more 90s in central park until next may/june is a given at this point. Too rainy and niño like.
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As always with CC it was warmer than normal cause of high dews causing overnight lows a degree or two warmer than normal. It did not "feel" like a warmer august in the slightest.
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Heat has backed off for late august/early september timeframe. Forky in shambles.
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I can see our last 90 occuring during this time frame. I think we easily hit 90 and high dews at the hot spots. Then hopefully kick summer out-good riddance.
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+4 F is extremely workable for the interior. Can even be beneficial if moisture is above normal too. Things only start to get worrisome for interior NE if we start flirting with +8 F
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Central park rarely gets good colors anymore because the UHI and CC+higher atmospheric moisture is producing record overnight lows.
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I would think good, but the likely warmer than normal overnight lows will reduce color. We need a very cold fall now to get good foliage.
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NAO throws a wild card and we get repeated lengthy -NAO periods. Unfavored though since the QBO and solar cycle are wrong. But the nao is the one thing that could lead to a snowier outcome than expected.
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I don't see it being the warmest for the entire CONUS i think there will be plenty of western troughs and storminess. record warm for northeast however is almost a given, especially december.
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Thoughts on late august and sept? Do you think summer sticks around till October or do we get an early start to fall?
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This. Next winter might actually be a 0" for one of the nyc weather stations.
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Also as bluewave says, summers have been more front loaded as of late. The last seriously hot late summer was back in 2023 with a run of mid 90s the first week of september.
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Climo does start fighting back hard. Late august and september are the time of year with the steepest declines in the highs. Yes 90s can happen but it gets significantly harder than in june and july. Also interesting take that anything less than 90s and upper 80s is "cold". Are you a reptilian?
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I really damn hope the dew points start crashing once we flip the calendar.
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NOAA is sold on the heat coming back latter third of August. Thankfully climo starts fighting back hard around then. Usually the time of year with sharpest temp drops.
