MarcmmKU
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About MarcmmKU

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KEWR
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not always. Even northern new england isn't immune to literal torches. See December 2015. I am crossing my fingers we don't get something like this again. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cold snow > Cold dry > warm dry > warm wet. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not necessarily. I think 1997-1998 was ok for the interior. I think it's unlikely though that both the interior and coast get close to normal snowfall. At least one will probably be far below normal. The coast cause they missed out on a KU, or the interior cause it truly was an epic torch. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Food for thought is that this nino isn't really coupling well to real time observations in South America. A typical nino response down there is for lots and lots of precip in the central andes in Chile. So far bone dry and anomalously warm for may there, especially in a burgeoning strong nino. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Totally agree. I'm an avid skier and strong ninos make my gut sink. I am praying we don't see a repeat of 2015-2016 in Vermont. Would be a disaster. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For the interior northeast strong nino is almost always bad news. Coast can get a good fraction of their seasonal totals from 1 KU type storm, which are more likely to occur in traditional niños. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Very hard to escape -pna now. Was kinda a miracle this last winter was better in that regard. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Too much niña. We haven’t had a traditional classic niño since 2018-2019. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Our variance is certainly very high.... Always makes the winter forecast a nail biter if you like snow lol -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I do think uber strong ninos tend to me more negative for us than for you. Midwest is pretty resistant to terrible snow years. Not the case on the coast, even interior NE. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
EWR cleared 50". Central park had some dubious measurements, especially with the December storms, and they stopped measuring after 9 am during the February KU when some of the heaviest rates of the storm occured... Wouldn't be surprised if they also easily cleared 50" of snow. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah "shutout" is relative. If Stowe VT gets, say 80" in a winter, that's considered a shutout for them. I would consider 2015-2016 basically a shutout for the new england. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Fair. I guess the concern is that there’s basically no floor with super strong el ninos. Can be a total shutout almost even for people at very high latitudes and elevations. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What are your thoughts for north country? Obviously vermont always gets more than the cities but does next winter really have the potential to be as much of a stinker for the ski areas as 2015-2016?
