MarcmmKU

Why do they never forecast BN in the northeast. I know it’s a bad bet most years but is this the only reason?

Well yes obviously. Many places in the metro have already had a freeze.

It is very likely nyc will not see a freeze until December. In recent years the first <= 32 F night in central park has gotten later and later. some years it doesnt happen until mid December.

Pulling 80 in late October is challenging period, even if theres a stout ridge right over us. Mid 70s we should achieve easily though.

The dry sunny days this upcoming week with the cooler overnight lows relative to earlier this fall should do wonders for the fall colors for the burbs and even the city.

36 this morning. coldest night so far by a long shot.

Bizarre. I expected to wake up to an inch or two on mansfield and jay peak, whatwith the NW flow.

The season of disgusting dews is finally over. Hopefully no more AC till april

That's what I thought until last winter. It rained to 10,000 ft repeatedly in Utah and Colorado. Just absurd how fast the planet is warming. Very scary.

Again regions to our west will absolutely torch and set records for next week. Absolutely insane to still see highs in the 80s in the midwest when it'll nearly be November. The rockies and west coast however look cold and snowy. Preview of the winter.

Well below normal is the most likely outcome. One huge storm that lines up with blocking and delivers near normal seasonal snow for people south of boston is the second most likely outcome. The ski resorts will likely have a ratter winter with tons of rain outs and bare runs off the sides of the trails. We were kinda due for that, with how good the last two winters were over the interior.

Tomorrow has got to be the last muggy day of the season right? I suspect dew point records to be smashed tomorrow.

Yes new england and nj/ny has been basically the only part of the country to not be a complete torch since march. most of that is due to certain days with suppressed highs due to all the storms. The overnight lows have been torching.

Wow. It's amazing how month after month we ge these massive +10F areas encompassing huge swaths of the conus. And little to no cool anomalies at all! In the past if the west torched then the east was cool and vice versa, but for the past 7 months its just been conus wide torch.

Could be an interesting winter for elevated areas. If it's slightly colder than 2015/2016, especially in December, it could be a snow bonanza, with a bunch of storms falling as marginal heavy wet snow. If it's as much of a torch as 15/16 or worse, then it'll be a shut out.