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It's coming? 1/31-2/1


Rjay
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ECM18z gives NYC 5mm precip / 9.4cm snow.
E LI 24mm/34cm.
Boston 34mm/47cm.

13.4 inches of snow 90 miles away from Manhattan ain't too shabby a place to be in if we can actually continue a NW trend today. Seems to be 1 step forward 2 steps back the last few days.


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3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

#3 is the initial problem, #4 is the final nail in the coffin.

IMG_2854.jpeg

Euro Nam and Icon keeping me intrigued… at least they didn’t go east & euro would be decent for nyc east wouldn’t take much to bring more people into the game for some snow 

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1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Euro Nam and Icon keeping me intrigued… at least they didn’t go east & euro would be decent for nyc east wouldn’t take much to bring more people into the game for some snow 

Tonight or tomorrow 12z we need more sustained NW ticks. No more NW jump then slither back SE.

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1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Euro Nam and Icon keeping me intrigued… at least they didn’t go east & euro would be decent for nyc east wouldn’t take much to bring more people into the game for some snow 

I would be more optimistic if I lived out on the island. For those of us in the NW crew, this one is over and I’m fine with it. I had 20” on Sunday and 4 or 5 plowable snowfalls before that. Also my roof is happier.

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1 minute ago, mikem81 said:

These are absolutely absurd jumps for the EURO. It’s essentially acting like the NAM which shows how volatile this setup is 

I dont think these are huge jumps. It just shows you how we're really not far off from something good. 

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40 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

So euro suite is west

gfs east

icon west ish 

nam woulda been nice

ya no one knows lol

There are so many pieces to the synoptic puzzle. The models are still trying to figure out how they fit together. This is a complex setup and it might not be until Friday before there is a good consensus. Several ensemble members have continued to show a 6"+ storm for NYC. That's still on the table. With greater confidence, it does appear that eastern Long Island into eastern New England have the highest chance of seeing an impactful event. Still, there's a lot of room for change.

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