October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Mets are discussing this possibly being a total miss south 

It’s not missing south lol

[CoastalWx]

Nam is kind of a no show.

[weatherwiz]

NAM deepens this so much and so quickly that we probably just end up with bands of heavy rain and gusty winds versus a widespread heavy rain shield. Would greatly reduce flooding risk and even wind risk (especially inland). Core of the LLJ never really gets into the region and its quite inverted. But not totally sold on this being as intense as the NAM has it...but this does illustrate such a scenario should that occur

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’s not missing south lol

Just saying what they’re mentioning 

[Brian5671]

NAM being the NAM and overdoing it.

[Bostonseminole]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just saying what they’re mentioning 

I think it's still on the table imho

[Bostonseminole]

so just getting back into this after years of boring foggy weather in CA..  anyone can tell me what is the RRFS model? any good?

[dryslot]

Keep it south, I need to get caught up on outside work after being in a cast for 2 mos.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Keep it south, I need to get caught up on outside work after being in a cast for 2 mos.

What happened?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

What happened?

Beer 

[Spaizzo]

Last weekend our in town flag football program cancelled all games on Saturday afternoon, they play on Sunday morning. Yet, our soccer club got every game in. I completely agree on how soft society has gotten. I run our soccer club, when we have rain forecast I must get 5-8 emails / texts asking "it's wet out, are we really playing". 
Just go sign your kid up for Rubics cube classes.
 

Our rec program has yet to get their Sunday games in due to rain mainly because our fields flood. However the rule is if the fields aren’t muddy or flooded and no lightening we play in the rain period.


.

[dryslot]

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

What happened?

This, Ruptured tendon, Partially torn tendon,  Fractured hamate bone, Carpal tunnel surgery, Certainly wasn't going to be typing on a keyboard.

[WxWatcher007]

Yikes. Hopefully you make a full and speedy recovery.

[OrangeCTWX]

Can’t wait to see the 3k NAM thrown out all over twitter by a bunch of bots.  So dumb. 

[WxWatcher007]

ICON fwiw, is a good hit.

[Bostonseminole]

ICON still looks rainy here.. looks like almost 10" OF RAIN in Boston if my eyes are working!

[ROOSTA]

12 minutes ago, dryslot said:

This, Ruptured tendon, Partially torn tendon,  Fractured hamate bone, Carpal tunnel surgery, Certainly wasn't going to be typing on a keyboard.

OUCH!
I hope that feels better than it looks. Praying that it fixes your ailment.
Personally, been there, after a dozen stints, arteries moved around and replaced, then triple bypass. and it gets better... old age sucks.

Hoping this nor'easter is a forbearer of an active Fall and Winter
Quite anomalous getting dews to drop below 70 before Nov. I'll take it.    

[Bostonseminole]

23 minutes ago, dryslot said:

This, Ruptured tendon, Partially torn tendon,  Fractured hamate bone, Carpal tunnel surgery, Certainly wasn't going to be typing on a keyboard.

yikes.. hope you heal quickly

[CoastalWx]

Jesus hope you heal up Jeff.

[dryslot]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Jesus hope you heal up Jeff.

Thanks, Surgery was July 8th Scott, Its 4-6 mos recovery, Rehabbing it hard in OT, Its much better then where it was but not there yet.

[WxWatcher007]

EPS probabilities are very high for some type of warm core development. You definitely don’t see these often in this region. If we see a continued trend on guidance of a deeper system this will only increase imo. Like I said earlier, it’ll be a sight on satellite to see this string out low wrap itself up into a sprawling but coherent low. 

[FXWX]

13 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

I have some data on my page. No graphics 

Thanks Steve... I have been following the data on your page, which is great, but wasn't sure actual maps were available anywhere?

[DirtySnowDen]

The trend is not our friend, if you don’t want bad weather.

[Damage In Tolland]

12z ICON and Germany congratulate E MA

 

[WxWatcher007]

Really starting to see that rain signal appear @weatherwiz.

As for wind. 

Boston

 

Groton

 

New Haven

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, KTBFFH1905 said:

Last weekend our in town flag football program cancelled all games on Saturday afternoon, they play on Sunday morning. Yet, our soccer club got every game in. I completely agree on how soft society has gotten. I run our soccer club, when we have rain forecast I must get 5-8 emails / texts asking "it's wet out, are we really playing". 

Just go sign your kid up for Rubics cube classes.

 

I agree! lol....last week my wife and I attended a volleyball match at Pentucket High School.....as we were leaving we noticed girls youth level field hockey practices taking place in the rain...had to be 75-100 girls there.

And let me add this...those parents better toughen up because once their sons and daughters reach the hs level they are going to quickly learn that soccer games get played in all types of weather. That especially applies to the state tournament which is usually played in November.

[Great Snow 1717]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

It's more about the travel to the venue. Seems kinda an unnecessary risk to take when the winds are 50-65mph. 

boomer take 

Where are there going to be sustained winds of 50-65 MPH???

[weatherwiz]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Really starting to see that rain signal appear @weatherwiz.

As for wind. 

Boston

 

Groton

 

New Haven

You can see a subtle inversion just above the sfc at BOS but thats pretty well mixed at HVN and GON

[weathafella]

In the gfs family it seems AI has been pretty consistent vs standard gfs op guidance.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Nam is kind of a no show.

 

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

NAM being the NAM and overdoing it.