Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,508
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    kgottwald
    Newest Member
    kgottwald
    Joined
Bob Chill

January 12-13th Cold Smoke Obs and Nowcast

Recommended Posts

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

This storm is a great reminder that it's very hard for models to nail intricate energy transfers. The waa piece is easy. The upper level and surface low progression is complicated. Sometimes it cuts the other way where models at short range lose (or move) the extra lift/precip idea. Appears this one is maxing out. Good luck indeed 

Absolutely and I was thinking that besides Jan 2010 I don’t remember us maxing out on potential on the front side of a major pattern flip especially from pac puke.  Snow Gods shining down on the Mid-Atlantic.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I guess DT is waiting for mount holly to update before he posts his final call map. 35/ overcast in spotsylvania

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

For the qpf queens

YwgygeL.png

That looks a bit better to me, especially with the heaviest qpf tying to push up toward us from the beaches.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, nj2va said:

Absolutely and I was thinking that besides Jan 2010 I don’t remember us maxing out on potential on the front side of a major pattern flip especially from pac puke.  Snow Gods shining down on the Mid-Atlantic.

I think we have earned this. 

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

For the qpf queens

YwgygeL.png

We're in a good spot. Roughly 0.5 - 0.6'' of QPF to my yard with over an inch just to my south. One more shift north and I'm in the really good goods.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

That looks a bit better to me, especially with the heaviest qpf tying to push up toward us from the beaches.

I wont be confident in tne location and amount of qpf with the trailing energy/enhancement until it's happening. That stuff is notorious for moving around or going up or down with qpf. Solid event before that's even an issue tho

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

34/15 with low cloud deck in 21093 (west of I83, north of Timonium Rd)


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Remember to report your first flakes using mPING app on your smart phone.  The data help radar meteorologists and operational staff understand where precipitation is making it to the ground!

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Always nice to see in the ZFP's

Fairfax-
Including the cities of Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville,
Chantilly, McLean, and Franconia
114 PM EST Sat Jan 12 2019

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

.THIS AFTERNOON...Snow. Snow accumulation around an inch. Highs
in the lower 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow
near 100 percent.
.TONIGHT...Snow. Snow may be heavy at times after midnight.
Additional snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches. Lows in the upper
20s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent.
.SUNDAY...Snow, mainly in the morning. Snow may be heavy at times
in the morning. Additional snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches.
Highs in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of
snow near 100 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Snow likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the
mid 20s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70 percent.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 30s. North winds around
5 mph.
  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Remember to report your first flakes using mPING app on your smart phone.  The data help radar meteorologists and operational staff understand where precipitation is making it to the ground!

Mets still use composite radar?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's been awhile since I've seen a trend like the one we are witnessing leading up to an event. Makes complete sense too, considering we've overperformed on numerous rain events this year...Glad to be on the Boom side for once in Southern Fauquier.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, LeesburgWx said:

Breaking news: Flurries in Leesburg

Nice! 1-2 hours before the rockville deathband (of flurries) sets up

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Bob Chill said:

Nice! 1-2 hours before the rockville deathband (of flurries) sets up

@psuhoffman busted...he said the pattern change would be 1/15 to 1/20. He is 3 days too late:)

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×