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09-10 analogy

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About 09-10 analogy

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDCA
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    tenleytown, dc
  • Interests
    irony and black humor, hiking, crossfit, reading history and lit'ry novels, (trying to) match wits with my daughter

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  1. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    eh, not quite was I was hoping for ...
  2. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Actually have a good feeling on this second round T&L wise. I think we could be in for a show.
  3. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    The T&L with that first round was some of the best this season. Wasn't much of it, but it meant business when it unloaded. Wind didn't exactly bowl me over though. With all the storms in my immediate vicinity this season, only one that I can recall has had decent wind. Cloudbursts, hail, possible wall cloud, yeah, but I don't think IMBY I've approached severe wind criteria (58+) all season. Notoriously difficult to judge, of course, (well, for me at least, even with my Skywarn training) without a weather station/anemometer. Western sky was looking ominous there for a while with round 2, but nasomuch now. Still hearing distant thunder. I always love daytime storms where you hear the thunder half an hour before the event actually hits, the thunder getting louder as the storm approaches. Subjectively speaking, that kind of evolution doesn't seem to happen as much as it did when I was younger, but I'm sure that's just observer/misty memory bias. And I'm a sucker for days with 3 or more rounds of storms. I'd almost rather have three rounds of decent storms instead of one big one (unless we're talking derecho or June 2008 -- which had multiple rounds anyway -- or July 2010).
  4. 09-10 analogy

    July Discobs 2019

    My street was a mini-river from curb to curb in upper NW. That's only happened a couple of times since I've lived here. One of last August's cloudbursts, June 2006, maybe one or two others I've forgot. And I'm nowhere near any stream or creek. Amazingly, only a little bit of water in the basement. When I went down there earlier, I was expecting to spend my morning dancing with the water vac. Fortunately, as another poster said, it didn't train like 6/06.
  5. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Wow ... legit golfball-sized hail in upper nw and a lot of it.
  6. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Getting some pretty gusty winds, I'd say in the 40s. Also some pings, I couldn't see any hail but raindrops generally don't make that sound, so I'd say a little bit of (very small) hail mixed in as well. Some thunder but no close lightning strikes.
  7. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    I seem to remember seeing one tornado-incidence recurrence map that had a lollipop of enhanced frequency to the north of the Bay, taking in places like York and Lancaster, maybe extending south of the M/D line, but not as far as the DC metro (may have glanced the Baltimore metro to the north and east). But that map didn't have any similar lollipop over, say, La Plata, so take it for what it's worth. Maybe the map predated 2002.
  8. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Outperformed for sure. Would love a round 2 even if it’s only GV.
  9. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Wow, I wasn’t anything close to that up here. Maybe 45-50 tops.
  10. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Great looking storm though nothing really noteworthy in upper NW. Some good wind and the obligatory 3-min cloudburst. As often the case some good stokes and booms even as the western sky is clearing.I thought I might have heard some hail as I was driving back from my vantage but it was pollen-size if it was and thus pretty much indistinguishable from raindrops. But the storm did have a great look— best I’ve seen in a while, I know that’s totally subjective but I,ve always been into weather for the aesthetics and the theater of it: great shelf cloud, a lot of green tint (maybe that’s why I had an audio-llucination of “hail”), some profound CG off to the distance. Looked particularly nasty as I looked due north from Ft Reno; no surprise as central MOCO seemed to have this one’s beam on it,
  11. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Didn’t mean to xpost see a bit of green tinge to sky looking nw
  12. 09-10 analogy

    May Banter 2019

    Not a day to go hiking in the Wichita Mountains in SW Oklahoma. But on non PDS-days, it's really one of the underrated parks in the nation. Not to mention the bison herds. Discovered it when driving cross-country with my wife (at that time GF) years ago (my best trip ever, that's when we knew we should commit to each other.) Coming south out of OKC, they just loom up like the spine of some giant prehistoric creature. I try to go visit it whenever I'm out that way, which isn't often. Just thinking about what a jewel in the rough this place is, while following this potentially high-impact day out in TX/OK. The Wichitas are smack in the middle. I thought I might have read something about how they influence storm formation a while ago.
  13. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Maybe they’ll lay down some kind of boundary? Yea, I know, “lay down a boundary” is the weenie t-storm equivalent to “backbuilding.” edit: oh, l see LWX mentioned a boundary in its AFD. But maybe this is a separate batch from the decaying MCS Sterling mentioned?
  14. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Not much T&L in upper NW but then again I was in a basement for part of it. Brief cloudbusts, some really optimized ominiscity (a new coinage that most assuredly will not catch on) above me, little bit of wind, but all in all, fringed. My daughter goes to school up near Cabin John and said they got nailed today: barrage of t&l, torrential rains, some impressive winds. The same school that was in the parth of the tornado warned cell last week and made no effort to get the kids to safer places, getting them away from windows, etc. Some were in gymnasiums, walking around outside, I even think some outside athletic after-school practices were going on and not interrupted. OK, the cell didn't drop and wouldn't have been a monster if it did, but still ... I'm tempted to say something, but my daughter says it would embarrass her, so maybe I'll email someone in confidence.
  15. 09-10 analogy

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    OK, so that lowering I saw from Fort Reno did have something to it. Just seeing those pics, imaging a tornado of some strength rolling along the Beltway in the vicinity of the Legion bridge during rush hour ... what a mess that would be.
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