NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 FWIW, 00z GFS does have some of that new recon data in it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 It's definitely slightly more NW at 114 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Not a good trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: Significantly more confluence in the NE. what are you talking about? Yeah but the low is further west so the spacing isn't changed. Edit: Nevermind it got worse. Going even further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Crapped the bed at 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 There is no way this is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 Low cruises over my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 x2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Who had precip near St. Louis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Hello Buffalo...Detroit fringed. Wait for ensembles Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Well that is one way to get the cold out of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 We are all going nuts over a rain storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Through 90 were some improvements but H5 keeps slowing down each run and allows the confluence to lift out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 There is no way the GEFS doesn't start moving the other direction now. I would be very surprised if they didn't move W but we'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Yeah but the low is further west so the spacing isn't changed. Edit: Nevermind it got worse. Going even further west.Low is basically the same as 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Low cruises over my house No biggie GFS only paints a 20.6” whopper right over the house here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Disregard the ICON since we were just told to do that six hours ago. Don't even post it. Don't mention it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, CentralVaNATS said: Hello Buffalo...Detroit fringed. Wait for ensembles Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Gotta disregard ensembles when the OP run leads a trend across several consecutive runs like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 It just seems like such an odd track for the surface low. Not saying that it’s wrong…just that it’s odd. How often do we get lows running right up the fall line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 There is no way the GEFS doesn't start moving the other direction now. I would be very surprised if they didn't move W but we'll see.Who cares about the gefs. The gfs is the ringleader here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Southern forum right now This forum right now 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 We get some heavy snow first....who wouldn't take that 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Open up the severe weather thread. This is the one you have been waiting for ... just for different reasons. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, mattie g said: It just seems like such an odd track for the surface low. Not saying that it’s wrong…just that it’s odd. How often do we get lows running right up the fall line? 3/8/08 is only case I know of 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Somebody delete this thread. Rain in Chesapeake. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 WB OZ GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 We get some heavy snow first....who wouldn't take that Could be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 looks good to me.. 12-15" and the GFS has a dry bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Just take the gfs nogaps blendhttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=navgem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2022011118&fh=108 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 It’s more of an apps runner than a cutter, but still snows to start. Also a reminder that it’s still 5 days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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