Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

MLK 2022 Storm Potential


stormtracker
 Share

Recommended Posts

LWX discussion:

 

As we head into Sunday morning, clouds will rapidly return as
the low over the south starts to turn the corner and head
northward toward us. This will limit insolation, keeping it cold
to start. By late morning, snow will then begin overspreading
the region as the low strengthens and heads northward toward us.
Unlike the last two widespread winter storms, which were
dominated by frotogenesis (January 3rd) or upper-dynamics
(January 7th), this one will be dominated by intense warm
advection. It will be accompanied by a strong easterly fetch as
the high shifts eastward off the coast to our north. Thus, the
effect of the cold air mass which will be in place to start will
be less enduring as the intense warm flow eats away at the cold.
That said, this will also enhance precipitation, resulting in
most areas seeing at least a brief period of moderate to heavy
snow before changing over to sleet and freezing rain and, for
some, plain rain.

Guidance continues to shift around a bit, but latest trends have
mostly been westward. This has resulted in a shiftward west of
the heaviest snow and best icing potential, with more potential
for a change to rain over areas near and east of I-95. It also
intensifies the wind threat a bit near the shore, with close to
advisory winds now expected. Watches were converted to warnings
and advisories based on our latest expectations on accumulations
and timing. That all having been said, its still nearly 24 hours
before the storm arrives for most, so some additional shifting
around is possible.

Precipitation will wind down from south to north late Sunday
night as the storm pulls away. The exception will be along the
Allegheny Front, where snow will continue much of the day
Monday before tapering off at night. The storm`s departure will
also herald a moderation of the air mass, as a more Pacific-
origin high overspreads the area. This will allow temps to rise
into the 40s Monday, with *only* 20s for lows at night. However,
this will be accompanied by a very strong west wind, potentially
wind advisory levels, with gusts to 50 mph possible across much
of the area. These winds should dwindle by sunset.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

You have to separate DT personally and professionally. Personality doesn’t change that he’s knowledgeable.

Before I found this forum in 2015, I used to follow him and watch all his videos. They were really informative for amateur snow lovers like me. However, he was pretty obnoxious at that point and he had a hard time admitting when he was wrong.  It’s weather. No one gets this right all the time.  However, I think he’s really gone off the deep end over the past few years and his forecasts are pretty far off. Even for the past couple of storms that seemed fairly easygoing get in range. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

You have to separate DT personally and professionally. Personality doesn’t change that he’s knowledgeable.

Well I mean last night his map was so laughable when even at the time of releasing, just about all model date strongly disagreed. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Sernest14 said:

May be the greatest asshole but he’s also a great met

Hugging the EURO does not make anyone a great met. He's far from being a "great" met. We are talking about a guy who was fired from the NWS, in addition to a guy that bashes not only the NWS but every local/regional met. He does this in the middle of storms as a way to divert traffic from his site when he knows his forecast is going to bust. Lets not forget the nasty harassment of former CBS 6 met Nikki Dee-Ray. That was absolutely disgusting and unacceptable.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • WxUSAF locked and unpinned this topic
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...