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WinterWxLuvr

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About WinterWxLuvr

  • Birthday 10/29/1962

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KOKV
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Frederick Co. Va
  • Interests
    Weather, Sports, Woodworking

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  1. WinterWxLuvr

    January Medium/Long Range Discussion

    That hasn’t stopped you yet.
  2. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    New thread guys We need some new luck.
  3. WinterWxLuvr

    December 9/10 Storm

    I think it’s coming north. Now whether that means any snow makes it to northern va is a different matter, but I think each model cycle will bring it North somewhat. I think it’s already starting with this model cycle.
  4. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Before it’s over I honestly believe we may end up worrying with the too far north/west situation.
  5. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    It does seem logical to ask the question as to whether the Canadian could possibly be correct when you frame it with the "this is a northern stream issue, northern stream vorts originate in the main domain of the canadian model, so shouldn't it be able to resolve those better" thinking. Is there any evidence to suggest that that model handles the northern stream better? And how are 500 verification scores created for global models? Can a model handle certain regions better, some worse and that affect its scores? Or no?
  6. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    That's an interesting graph. Note that the lowest scores in the past month for all of them came from our last winter storm.
  7. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Not so sure now, lol
  8. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    An early guess on the gfs is that this will be further north. Don’t laugh if I’m way way off
  9. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I wouldn’t say always but I agree that confluence in the ne is often overdone
  10. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I will not for one minute wish this storm north of the current euro solution or any other suppressed solution. I think there are many here who know that.
  11. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Another thing ... even suppressed storms usually end up further north than modeled
  12. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    When the ens members almost all have the storm, I think that worry can be put aside.
  13. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    The suppressed mean is because of timing differences and one or two that don’t have the Storm per se. The ones with the storm actually don’t have any that look suppressed to me. This has a classic look to it. A lot of people have been talking about this period for a while. I myself wrote a post on this on Tuesday. This has legs IMO
  14. WinterWxLuvr

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Think this is one of those storms. Already been followed for four days
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