Ephesians2

Definitely looks like an improvement.

GFS says there's still a chance for the far west/SW fringe.

18z GFS looks slightly northwest of 12z. Still, just barely, keeping hope of something alive for my backyard on the border between this forum and the Mid-Atlantic forum.

GFS is not moving in the right direction. Seems weaker and further SW at 66.

Don't think I've ever seen anything like this before.

Lynchburg, VA 2/2/2023 - 0.1" Total - 0.1"

11.1 just W of Fredericksburg City.

Seven degrees colder than forecast! (38 degrees with cold rain versus 45 degrees with cold rain )

Yeah, it almost certainly is... never mind. Checked some stations on Wunderground and it's probably actually in the lower 20s.

31.3 in Fredericksburg. Several degrees colder than forecast. I'm under no illusions that I will get anything out of this, but might be a good sign for the western/northwestern half of this forum.

The GEFS looks very similar to the main GFS with respect to the trend. Maybe it's SLIGHTLY to the east.

I think 99 percent of people here would "lock this in" for Christmas Eve, especially with the extended period of winter weather depicted on the 00z GFS (3-6 from "round 1", 1-3 from "round 2")