MillvilleWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Shortwave trough over AL is pretty fierce this evening. Friends in AL reporting TSSN in Tuscaloosa. That ain't too shabby. Looking at stuff now. Will report back in time. 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Given a choice of any weather occurrence that I despise more than anything, I would choose missing out on a winter event because of a lack of precip number one without any question. I’d rather it be 60 and rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeff B Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 40/35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Perspective 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, ravensrule said: It’s like a bad circumcision. Oh my gawd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 41/34 in Purcellville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Given a choice of any weather occurrence that I despise more than anything, I would choose missing out on a winter event because of a lack of precip number one without any question. I’d rather it be 60 and rain. You should move east near 95. You'd get both wishes on the regular. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 11pm ob. 45.6F, 1.2 drop in last hour. That area nicely centered around Raleigh looks great . I’m hoping for centered around Richmond next and then Here ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Thunder snow in southern TN rn? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Decided to stay in EC tonight at my brothers off Frederick rd. Hoping for an I-95 shellacking - especially everyone in DC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Perspective Dryslot runs from Atlanta to Ric already. Uh oh... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 44 minutes ago, BlizzardNole said: Really hope people that have missed out cash in! I got close to a foot in that 2019 storm so if I'm on the edge of this one so be it. Temp down to 43 We're in this together Nole! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Somebody in my regional sub mentioned this storm, so I decided to check it out. Is there a reason why the NWS is being conservative with amounts across the area? It isn't just one spot, it seems like it is across the board. The models look pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 I'm so glad this wasn't a long track event...I'm exhausted just from the last few hours 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Somebody in my regional sub mentioned this storm, so I decided to check it out. Is there a reason why the NWS is being conservative with amounts across the area? It isn't just one spot, it seems like it is across the board. The models look pretty impressive. Warm temps to start, possible sleet mixing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Somebody in my regional sub mentioned this storm, so I decided to check it out. Is there a reason why the NWS is being conservative with amounts across the area? It isn't just one spot, it seems like it is across the board. The models look pretty impressive. I think they believe there will be mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 47/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Looking at the RAP, D.C. gets about 9 hours of snow. Is anyone concerned about dry air eroding the back edge? 1 24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 16 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: @clskinsfan @EastCoast NPZ we are pretty much toast. Nah. Not yet. I still think 2-4 is a good call for us. But we were out of the heavy stuff as soon as the GFS sniffed this one. I'll take whatever I can get.:) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Somebody in my regional sub mentioned this storm, so I decided to check it out. Is there a reason why the NWS is being conservative with amounts across the area? It isn't just one spot, it seems like it is across the board. The models look pretty impressive. I mean it’s still 48 in DC and we’re a few hours from onset of precipitation…have to believe a few hours is wasted due to warm antecedent conditions. Hard to buy the 12”+ solutions. But it should still be impressive for 4 to 6 hours particularly like 8am to 1pm in my opinion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Looking at the RAP, D.C. gets about 9 hours of snow. Is anyone concerned about dry air eroding the back edge? I have nipples Greg…can you milk me? 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, lee59 said: I think they believe there will be mixing. Seems reasonable, literally always a concern around these parts. Doesn't help that it's still in the mid 40s. I'm just here for the 2"/hr rates post sunrise tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, CntrTim85 said: Looking at the RAP, D.C. gets about 9 hours of snow. Is anyone concerned about dry air eroding the back edge? It’s a concern on the nrn edge. Wherever that goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Just now, CntrTim85 said: Are you worried too? I feel like the snow is going to be a big ole' bust. I just headed up to Freddysburg with my 3 cats and checked in a hotel to see some snow flakes. So worried Beans, Bill, and Balls will not get their first token flakes. Are you doing a bit? I feel like you really didn't get my message a while back. 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 @NorthArlington101 this you coming into DCA? Heard you flying over my house. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dukeblue219 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 Let's see that temperature trend turn down again... (silver spring MD) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: I mean it’s still 48 in DC and we’re a few hours from onset of precipitation…have to believe a few hours is wasted due to warm antecedent conditions. Hard to buy the 12”+ solutions. But it should still be impressive for 4 to 6 hours particularly like 8am to 1pm in my opinion I always thought, when ptype would be an issue, that the 3KM NAM Ferrier SLR would be a good sanity check. Even in this case, when the warm layer is mainly (entirely) surface based instead of aloft. I would look at these totals as the lower percentiles or "expect at least this much". I know this map isn't comforting for most of us, including me with MBY in central AA County. But we are going to need those rippin' rates. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: I always thought, when ptype would be an issue, that the 3KM NAM Ferrier SLR would be a good sanity check. Even in this case, when the warm layer is mainly (entirely) surface based instead of aloft. I would look at these totals as the lower percentiles or "expect at least this much". I know this map isn't comforting for most of us, including me with MBY in central AA County. But we are going to need those rippin' rates. Crazy how low that map is for Southern Maryland! Most forecasts has them as the bullseye. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Crazy how low that map is for Southern Maryland! Most forecasts has them as the bullseye. Bullseye for precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 3, 2022 Share Posted January 3, 2022 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: Bullseye for precip. and snowfall accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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