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George BM

April Discobs 2020

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Hrrr fwiw brings a decent slug of qpf up here late this evening ( around .50").  It might be enough to cool the column for wet snow all  the way to the  surface with those moderate rates verbatim . As is it's like 36-38  up near the M/D line during the heaviest qpf . It's close. 

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22 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Hrrr fwiw brings a decent slug of qpf up here late this evening ( around .50").  It might be enough to cool the column for wet snow all  the way to the  surface with those moderate rates verbatim . As is it's like 36-38  up near the M/D line during the heaviest qpf . It's close. 

Problem is that initial slug comes before the low level cold filters in. That was always rain on guidance. Our windows was late night early morning with the frontal wave. That now looks to stay southeast. That trend had been apparent for a while. We could mix with heavy enough rates this evening but the potential for accumulation is pretty low. 

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13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Problem is that initial slug comes before the low level cold filters in. That was always rain on guidance. Our windows was late night early morning with the frontal wave. That now looks to stay southeast. That trend had been apparent for a while. We could mix with heavy enough rates this evening but the potential for accumulation is pretty low. 

Agree about low chance of accumulation outside Catoctins.  Evaporative cooling after sunset can't hurt either.  I'll probably miss it anyway if its after 10 :30  . Early morning tomorrow. 

If anything it's a distraction from all the daily death and doom talk .:D

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Euro actually is a rain to snow briefly along the M/D line for Friday night as the boundary drags south . One last tease :lol:

Friday afternoon its snowing in Pa and people in Va are getting a sun tan ( 6 feet apart of course):lmao:

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12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Nashville saw some flakes today in a rogue heavy band, so I’d like to think we could all record one more trace early tomorrow morning.

Nah we’ll find a way not to see flakes.  It’s what we do.  

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Seeing flakes on Frostburg traffic cams.  Isn't exactly a winter wonderland though.

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Looks like a winter wonderland. I’m over winter at this point — would prefer 60s and full sun over this.

 

31 with light snow. 0.6” so far.

 

c71f8d99fe1ca673835eda80c8e5e4cb.jpg&key=289e83b7392972eee7eb30724f7388fda8d62e83c019a5bc66e69c67bf33ea2d

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2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Man, this coulda been a good event. Pretty wet, quick storm.

HRRR has been getting snowier and snowier on the backend. I'd love an hour of flakes. I'm not picky.

I must be missing something because I'm not seeing any snow on HRRR.

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1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

I must be missing something because I'm not seeing any snow on HRRR.

When I made the comment (2 hours ago) the sim radar was showing up as this, showing that people under the heavier stuff seemed to have a chance at mixing. Admittedly, it's backed off on this!

1586933100-4ZncHMbbud4.png

1586935800-Dz7vDN7TUQQ.png

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

When I made the comment (2 hours ago) the sim radar was showing up as this, showing that people under the heavier stuff seemed to have a chance at mixing. Admittedly, it's backed off on this!

1586933100-4ZncHMbbud4.png

1586935800-Dz7vDN7TUQQ.png

Ahh got you. Had hopes when I saw your comment then went to check the models and it was more of the same from this winter.

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16 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

Definite slush bombs mixing in under that brighter return...41/38

Nice! 

Wish hrrr wasn't getting dryer and dryer each run though:lol: not unexpected 

 

Edit...I spelled drier wrong lol . That's the electrician in me lol

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Just now, losetoa6 said:

Nice! 

Wish hrrr wasn't getting dryer and dryer each run though:lol:

Ha!  yeah...back edge already advancing.  That band does look like it wants to intensify....at least right now.

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13 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

Ha!  yeah...back edge already advancing.  That band does look like it wants to intensify....at least right now.

When's the front edge starting :lol:

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21 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

Definite slush bombs mixing in under that brighter return...41/38

Band looks heftier west of Frederick but will slip well south of my yard .

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4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

When's the front edge starting :lol:

The bright side is @Weather Will is about to see his one snowflake!  It might burst into flames instantly when in reaches the ground but...beggars.

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14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

53F. When does my snow start??:snowing:

When you get to the mountains outside Bosie.  53 was fine for snow when I was hiking there last May, and people were out in Tshirts.   

Not here though, we always have to deal with the laws of physics.

 

 

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