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About Inverted_Trough

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  1. Covid isn't going to render humanity extinct, so from that perspective I don't think anyone doubts that we'll "win"'s just the amount of unnecessary carnage we'll experience to get there. History will judge our response to be a failure. But if we somehow do get an effective vaccine by the end of the year that will certainly be technological marvel.
  2. 7 consecutive days, and 9 out of the last 10 days, were below 90 at DCA. In peak summer and during our anthropocene climate period -- that's a difficult feat, indeed. Maybe almost as difficult to accomplish as our 20 day 90 degree streak! Looks like we'll have a couple days of 90+. But then we might go another extended period of temps below 90. If we manage the rest of the summer with just a handful of 90s, this summer might be remembered as just a six week stretch of heat.
  3. I've been told that some kids actually learn better via virtual learning. The in-person aspect is good for socialization which of course is very important. But throwing thirty kids into a classroom isn't necessarily a great way to teach kids. That's simply the way we've historically done it because that was the most efficient way to teach kids at a mass scale. We haven't done virtual learning for a long enough period of time to truly understand its impacts -- good or bad. I think it's quite possible that a combination of virtual learning and in-person learning might be better than all-virtual or all-in-person.
  4. A significant portion of our population is anti-science and anti-expert. Everything is a conspiracy to them. QAnon has gotten very popular over the past few months.
  5. There was recently a large study (65000+ people) from South Korea that basically concluded kids that at age 10 and over are just as efficient at spreading the virus. It's still an open question whether kids under the age of 10 are efficient spreaders. I think the outbreak at the YMCA camp in Georgia shows how easily kids can spread this thing. You can also look at Israel...they had the virus almost eradicated, until they opened schools. They had so many outbreaks that they had to close all their schools again. Even today, you had several positive cases at some school in Mississippi. I just have a feeling that, a couple months from now, we're going to look back and think to ourselves "What the heck were we thinking?" Hope I'm wrong!
  6. Children are basically vectors for disease propagation, i.e. they don't suffer much from the disease itself but they are efficient spreaders of disease. Opening up schools will increase the velocity of infections, there will be outbreaks, and there will be some teachers that die during these outbreaks. The question is whether society is okay with an increase in the velocity of infections in order to have the benefits of in-person learning. Frankly, I think if we see outbreaks, society might tolerate that for a couple of months, but eventually they'll decide its untenable and many schools will fallback to virtual learning. I think we keep trying to force "normalcy" when normalcy simply isn't possible right now.
  7. I think some people just forget that they have it on, after returning to their car from the grocery store or wherever. That's happened to me a couple of times where I didn't realize I still had it on after returning to the car. It just goes to show you that, if you wear something as part of a routine, your body adjusts to it to the point that sometimes you don't even notice that you're wearing it.
  8. Testing has slowed down over the past couple weeks.
  9. Not sure. But lung damage is very uncommon in symptomatic cold and flu patients, unless it turns into a pneumonia. My main point was that it seems people conflate asymptomatic = benign. I don't think that's necessarily the case. What made HIV so scary back in the 1980s was that so many people were asymptomatic until they basically got full blown AIDS. There are some cancers that are asymptomatic until you get to Stage 3 or Stage 4 -- that's what makes pancreatic cancer so the time symptoms arise, you're often already at Stage 4. To me, something that's damaging my body without causing symptoms, that's far more insidious. I just think we have to be careful with how we interpret asymptomatic cases. It's not clear whether all those cases are benign at this point.
  10. They're finding a significant number of asymptomatic people who nonetheless have lung damage on CT scans. So it appears the virus might be damaging the body without causing overt symptoms
  11. A colleague of mine lives and works remotely from Florida. He hired a contractor to do some work in his house. When the contractor showed up he asked him to wear a mask since he was going to be working inside his house...the guy refused to wear a mask, so he had to cancel the work and go with somebody else. Some People are even willing to lose out on business if it means wearing a mask. The anti-mask sentiment is strong down south.
  12. They're saying that Asia and perhaps even Europe are poised to have stronger economic growth in 2021 compared to the US, simply because they're managing the virus much better. At this point the ability - or lack thereof - to manage this virus will determine your economic growth over the next year. It wouldn't surprise me if the US actually experienced a double dip recession because we simply can't get this under control.
  13. Hopefully this summer we'll be able to say that DCA 1) never reached 100; 2) never had a low >= 80. (The latter is getting rare in modern times..)
  14. Everyone that makes under 75k also received $1200 even if they are working. Even retirees got the $1200 check. People are flush with cash right now. That's also why the savings rate has gone through the roof. Americans typically don't save money but now they are.
  15. Over the past ten years, the big six airlines have spent 96% of their profits on stock buybacks. Sorry, but I'm not that sympathetic to the airlines. They are especially vulnerable to natural disasters, geopolitical conflicts, pandemics, etc. So of all industries you would think they would have a long-term, strategic view towards things. But nope. I say let them fend for themselves.