stormy

My patience is challenged with you! Please try to understand that the the Mid-Atlantic Forum as you listed covers Augusta County. You need to proof-read your Nonsense before you post................. Can you understand this simplicity???????

The latest 6-10 day from the CPC predicts warmer than normal for the tri-state region from May 15 - 19. For the same period, the GFS, ECM and GEM predicts cooler than average!!!! This has been going on with NOAA for a long time.......... I must wonder why?? They always err on the side of warmer than normal, not cooler than normal..........................

Thanks but sorry. My post was not about DCA, it was about Augusta County where with my high was 78 compared to a predicted high of 89. The NWS and others are often hyping temps. 5-7 degrees above model expectations.

The TV mets and NWS were screaming about how hot it would be today. Near 90. At 11:30 it is 72. Maybe we will have a sharp temp. rise from 1600 to 1800Z ???

.93" for the 36 hr. event. April only provided 57% of normal rainfall.

Here in northeast Augusta I have received 11.76 YTD. Normal YTD is 12.71. .95 YTD deficit, BUT ....... Agriculturally of concern. Since February 1 we are 3.70" below normal!!

My low was 27.5 at 6:30.

The last 30 days says doom regarding moisture . DC and east have done great. Western areas are lacking. My April moisture is not good 1.92 vs ..2 30 to date ...................................

A southern slider always works on April 26!!! Somebody, start a thread!!!!!!!!

A few miles to your northwest I only received .67. Whetstone Ridge up on the Parkway near Montebello at 3023 ft. reported 4.30"!!!!

Convection along the southeast coast is robbing lift potential over Virginia. Robust dynamics to our west may be able to overcome.

89.4% at 3:17. A total failure because a heavy stratus deck moved in around 3. The weak radiation at 11% couldn't burn through the clouds. Now back to 15% and the sun is returning but too late!

24.2 degrees this morning froze all blooming peaches, cherries and plums in my orchard.

Snowshoe has received 5 - 8 inches with mod/ heavy snow falling and 26 degrees.

LOL ........ LOL

In 2004 the opening pitch was at 40 degrees!!!!!

Its beginning to snow at Spruce Knob at 34F. 6 - 12" can fall at these heights above 3500 ft during the next 48 hrs..

.63" last night and this morning. Finally a decent rain!!!

24 hours ago, the 171 input suite of the NOAA NBM predicted that central Augusta would receive an average of .70" of qp by 12z today. I have received .08".

That would be earth shattering! I'll look into it. A 10 year run of 90% accuracy is phenomenal.

2.54 " March total rainfall. This is only 72% of normal. A rather remarkable statistic: 8 of the past 8 Marches have been drier than normal in my area. 100% dry in March during the past 8 years!! 7 of the past 8 winters have had below normal snowfall. 87% of the time during the past 8 years, low winter snowfall precedes a dry March west of the Blue Ridge. The last wet March was 2015. During the winter of 14/15 I had above normal snowfall. Before that, March of 2014 was wet. I also had above normal snowfall for the 13/14 winter!!!!!!!!!!!!

The pattern in late week would not benefit us whether it was Jan. or April. Up-slope snow does not affect areas east of the mts.. We are in a down-slope region.

.17" rain on Wednesday. 2.38" so far in March vs a normal of 3.51". I will plan to post tomorrow or Monday about dry Marches in my region related to previous winter snowfall. A 3 model blend gives the higher elevations of W.Va. between Elkins and Snowshoe 9. 7 inches of snow between Wednesday and late Friday.

22 early this morning. 11 years ago this morning was a winter wonderland at my place! 6.5 inches of snow and 28 degrees. 3.5 inches fell on Palm Sunday afternoon and 3 more inches Sunday night. Mar. 25, 2013.

The squirrels are shivering this morning at 22 degrees!