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Major snowstorm 1/15-16


Torch Tiger
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43 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yup. It’s been pretty good. People tossing because it’s not snowy 

Not at all! Personally I nearly couldn't care less if it snows or not, this is not my only hobby. Sorry, I just can't stand AI anything. To this point I've seen it cause far more problems than it's helped solve, and that's likely to only get worse

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57 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Such stark differences at 500 with only a 114hr lead. The GEM is on a whole nother planet and hasn't wavered, same with ICON...though that thing sucks usually the GEM is at least in the conversation. 

1707233224_models-2026011112-f114.500hv.conus(2).gif.5c0416acefdd1302c52a2fe4bfc3e8d0.gif

It’s a cold front

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3 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

It doesn’t hurt Brett..I honestly dont know what you’re trying to accomplish?  It’s weather. It doesn’t alway do what we want, or hope for.  And if you’re insisting that it’s flying by, we still have much more in front of us, than behind us.  But whatever…it guess it doesn’t matter when one has your outlook on things. 
 

It’s snowing heavily in N. Maine currently, and they are under a winter storm warning.  I’ll be heading up north end of the week, so it’s all good for me in that regard. Enjoy whatever happens with this. 

You're making his point...you are getting TFO of here, so "it's all good" for you.... :lol:

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37 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, hopefully the ULL keeps trending deeper and more closed so Hyannis can do better.

Some day you will live in  place where it snows everyday and you won't have time to whine about snow that hasn't happened yet.

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The problems in all guidance could not be any more glaringly obvious ... 

It's all exceptionally highly sensitive to wave spacing issues.  Sorry to keep hitting this aspect; I'm not seeing many of you writing about it.  

The diving "2nd wave" is bullying into the trough, imparting a polar oriented correction vector to the flow - trying to lift it up;  that is directly opposing/offsetting the ability for the lead wave space to intrinsically dig/maintain amplitude. 

done deal.   game over.  

that all has to iron itself out such that:

a,  one or the other becomes dominant

or 

b, neither will be very significant.    

or 

c, some minoring event transpires perhaps out of both -... but in this case, the 2nd is a wild card.  

And Scott's right big time.  The baroclinic axis is getting swept seaward and is not recovering in some of these guidance.  That was magnificently spelled out in the 00z GFS, which showed an explosion of squally -linear convection out over the outer g-string, gobbling up al the moisture dynamics and running away with it.  There's no other way in nature to demonstrate that without y'all learning Navier-Stokes

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