HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Can we get Maaaakh's trifecta? Looks like a good part of New England might be able to get a decent event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 23 Author Share Posted January 23 12km NAM clown depiction. This includes a little bit of today’s event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 I'll take that, honestly I'll take anything over 3", my threshold for using the blower or shoveling... I really wanna use this thing before I leave for like the month of February... but I have a feeling we're going to be just too warm and south for the goods, we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 similar streak to what we saw today, SLP is off, H7 and H85 lows are north of where SNE wants 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23 Share Posted January 23 Here's a look at the GFS depiction of forcing as precip starts before this event winding down and the next one coming in. I think notably the jet streak is weaker, so you would anticipate the forcing to be weaker as well. But look at the orientation of the jet. It's subtle, but it's there. It's both farther north, and more east/west axis. This should produce a more uniform initial thump of snow than this current event. This suggests to me something a few inches less than what is out there right now, and shifted north closer to the Canadian border. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I think GYX wants to get people's attention after today. Unusual to have an aggressive numbers before a watch or warning. I am less optimistic after all of our recent luck. So I say 6-8 for me and then dry slot or drizzle. Wednesday A 30 percent chance of snow after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 31. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Wednesday Night Snow before 4am, then rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Thursday Rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain before 7am, then rain likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of rain after 1pm. High near 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I like our odds here for a uniform couple inches before the rain. 18z Euro looked robust subtracting todays stuff. Would like to see a few more ticks toward game time to prolong cold or up the thump. Even a little would make a difference. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I think some are tired but I bet some posts will start showing up with 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Hrrr looks thumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr looks thumpy. Not bad for 7pm Wed if this is what radar looks like. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr looks thumpy. We pray for that outcome verbatim 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr looks thumpy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 00z NAM is quite a thump too 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3k would make many happy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 32 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: We pray for that outcome verbatim I won't feel comfortable till I see snow over long island 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, wx2fish said: 3k would make many happy Looked solid for the CT peeps. Jay finally gets his snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Some of the stuff even wants to drop 2-4” here. I’m skeptical, but it could happen if it comes in like a wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 We get a decent airmass well timed for a front ender. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Going to be today in reverse, thump of snow changing to rain and a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 52 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Not bad for 7pm Wed if this is what radar looks like. 52 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: We pray for that outcome verbatim We want thump. We need thump. Knock this pattern on its ass and turn this thing around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Going to be today in reverse, thump of snow changing to rain and a mess. Yes, but the way I see it—get points on the board Wednesday, let the cold come next week, let the chips fall. We’re actually producing something now with a better look rising above the horizon. Finally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We want thump. We need thump. Knock this pattern on its ass and turn this thing around. We need thump. We need to avoid butt fumble. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 53 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 00z NAM is quite a thump too The clown map gives a bit of a chuckle to Methuen mass . 7/10 split . On a serious note I hope this trends under a inch of QPF total and the thump comes thru . Snow to rain is depressing to me know matter if I have 75” or 7” on season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 hours ago, mahk_webstah said: I think GYX wants to get people's attention after today. Unusual to have an aggressive numbers before a watch or warning. I am less optimistic after all of our recent luck. So I say 6-8 for me and then dry slot or drizzle. Wednesday A 30 percent chance of snow after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 31. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Wednesday Night Snow before 4am, then rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible. Thursday Rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain before 7am, then rain likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of rain after 1pm. High near 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Yea, that map is pretty wild. I was surprised to see an area of 12-18" extend down into southern Maine counties. Today they did mention cold air holding on not being modeled well in recent systems. I'd be surprised if we ended up with 8-12". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 11 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Mainly rain Wed night-Thursday...no shock. First Call https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/01/mainly-rain-likely-wednesday-evening.html Will probably need to adjust Wednesday. Worm has turned as events begin overachieving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 GFS still not biting on the NAM/HRRR optimism. Pretty weak sauce on the thump. Bit of a model battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Opening bid from Box… looks like a 70:30 GFS:NAM blend Almost a redux of today’s totals, with more of a latitude component and no CCB jack east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Opening bid from Box… looks like a 70:30 GFS:NAM blend Almost a redux of today’s totals, with more of a latitude component and no CCB jack east Yup that map looks familiar. For CT it’s actually a little more bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr looks thumpy. Just made it to DC, 3 hours delayed. Fly back at 1pm Wednesday. (Im)perfect timing again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 LFG!! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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