Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,275
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Chicago85
    Newest Member
    Chicago85
    Joined

Jan 25 2023 Three-fer fer some...


HoarfrostHubb
 Share

Recommended Posts

I'll take that, honestly I'll take anything over 3", my threshold for using the blower or shoveling... I really wanna use this thing before I leave for like the month of February... but I have a feeling we're going to be just too warm and south for the goods, we'll see

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ezgif.com-gif-maker_(4).gif?width=590&he

 

Here's a look at the GFS depiction of forcing as precip starts before this event winding down and the next one coming in. I think notably the jet streak is weaker, so you would anticipate the forcing to be weaker as well. But look at the orientation of the jet. It's subtle, but it's there. It's both farther north, and more east/west axis. This should produce a more uniform initial thump of snow than this current event. 

This suggests to me something a few inches less than what is out there right now, and shifted north closer to the Canadian border. 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think GYX wants to get people's attention after today.  Unusual to have an aggressive numbers before a watch or warning.  I am less optimistic after all of our recent luck.  So I say 6-8 for me and then dry slot or drizzle.

Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of snow after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 31. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Snow before 4am, then rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.
Thursday
Rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain before 7am, then rain likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of rain after 1pm. High near 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

Going to be today in reverse, thump of snow changing to rain and a mess.

Yes, but the way I see it—get points on the board Wednesday, let the cold come next week, let the chips fall. We’re actually producing something now with a better look rising above the horizon.

Finally. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

53 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

00z NAM is quite a thump too

The clown map gives a bit of a chuckle to Methuen mass . 7/10 split . On a serious note I hope this trends under a inch of QPF total and the thump comes thru . Snow to rain is depressing to me know matter if I have 75” or 7” on season 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, mahk_webstah said:

I think GYX wants to get people's attention after today.  Unusual to have an aggressive numbers before a watch or warning.  I am less optimistic after all of our recent luck.  So I say 6-8 for me and then dry slot or drizzle.

Wednesday
A 30 percent chance of snow after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 31. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Snow before 4am, then rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 26. Breezy, with an east wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.
Thursday
Rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain before 7am, then rain likely, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 7am and 1pm, then a chance of rain after 1pm. High near 38. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Yea, that map is pretty wild. I was surprised to see an area of 12-18" extend down into southern Maine counties. Today they did mention cold air holding on not being modeled well in recent systems. I'd be surprised if we ended up with 8-12". 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Opening bid from Box…

looks like a 70:30 GFS:NAM blend

Almost a redux of today’s totals, with more of a latitude component and no CCB jack east

image.thumb.jpeg.92c65708726133fcea983a823fbd780b.jpeg

 

Yup that map looks familiar.  For CT it’s actually a little more bullish. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...