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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    Yeah in that time frame.
  2. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    Go fish.
  3. First T of the season at GYX.
  4. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    In the FWIW category, from a couple days ago the EPS has increased the number of members with measurable snow in New England (anywhere outside of the typical picnic table snows) from about 1 in 5 to 1 in 3.
  5. Firing golf balls off the dome.
  6. The wind definitely makes it look worse, but they are definitely getting good accumulation up there. I'm stuck using the Villeroy radar though north of the mountains because GYX is down.
  7. I mean you can see footprints in the snow up in Coos, so there has to be totals over an inch now.
  8. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    This doesn't appear to be a typical radiational set up, where you'll see big drops from your daytime temp. We're still cold to neutral advecting overnight, so the boundary layer may stay mixed. The one caveat is if the WAA aloft as return flow sets up can give us a quick sunrise surprise in temp drops. But for the bulk of the night it looks too mixed to really tumble off. I'll second that.
  9. Or not if the QPF dries up.
  10. OceanStWx

    Fall Foliage 2018

    The next two days should do a number on peak areas.
  11. Remarkably uniform gusts around 40 knots with the fropa. We ended up with about 75k without power in our CWA.
  12. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    FV3 might be better. It's not a stemwinder, so it doesn't flood the area with warmth.
  13. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    I mean James may have thrown a little gas on the fire at the end of that GFS run.
  14. Yeah I mean you can leave the boundary layer and enter the free atmosphere there. With some of the inversions up there you can swing +/- 10 degrees easy as you hike up. But I will say MOS is pretty darn good for the summit. I dumped the MET in to fix it quickly and it gave me sustained 84 knots and gusts to 102. That ended up being within 10 knots of reality.
  15. 47 mph at PWM and 45 at HIE (which is really impressive, they are never windy).
  16. Neither? Good signal for a low pressure in the neighborhood, but of extratropical origin. Frozen precip is TBD based on delivery of cold prior to any cyclogenesis.
  17. Also we had wind gusts on MWN to 55 knots for tonight, they are already sustained at 70.
  18. Yeah, just peeked through the EPS individual members and there is pretty much unanimous consent that something occurs in that window.
  19. A cold rain as modeled, but who doesn't love the sound of chainsaws at Halloween?
  20. The 264 hour GFS says you can do better than that.
  21. 7 degrees in 20 min at ORH. Not bad.
  22. OceanStWx

    Coldtober model and pattern disco

    Showed the 240 hour Euro Kuchera output without comment. Just a map and silence for the 2 minute weather segment. But it does give Kevin his first flakes before All Hallows' Eve.
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