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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
2 NNW is Pennichuck water. Their data is pretty meh overall, they do us a free service but there are occasional mistakes and they like their "round" numbers x.0 and x.5. The Hudson coop had 28.6" and is a former met, so pretty reliable obs there. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
It won't necessarily get weaker, but you will see the band contract in size as the warm advection moves north and it becomes more driven purely by deformation. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Once a certain amount of time passes it is no longer a local WFO thing. Only NCEI can change it, so IIRC when Will pieced together the missing records it was too late for BOX to change things. And NCEI is notoriously unwilling to change data (with good reason, don't need ulterior motives driving data changes). -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I believe they got 2" Brutal. But we did actually get those 20+ totals in the south. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
This one's right up there with the St. Valentine's Day massacre of 2015 for GYX. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Congrats Dendrite! -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Day drinking FTL -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I'm just doing the math from the 5 inches on the ground at 7 pm last night before the snow started. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I actually can't myself. I know GYX has internal documents we keep of the top 10 lists, I know BOX has similar. But that's what I mean about them not being digitized. Without asking BOX directly, you can't really search on your own. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Seeing BOX LSRed a 31.5 in Warwick, so they are buying the 30+ reports now. Should start coming fast and furious now. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
SNINCR 4/37! That's a +32 change from this storm. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I mean they reported 33 inches on the ground (+28 change) last hour. I don't see how they haven't recorded over 29" of snow for this event. The 1978 is "only" 28.6". -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Looking at some objective analysis today, and it does support what some of the more mesoscale guidance was showing Saturday/Sunday. The 850 mb frontogenesis while it does weaken in max intensity, does broaden and lift north towards southeast SNE. The real kicker is 700 mb. Look at how stationary that forcing is from GON to ORH for the 12-18z period (remember north winds will cause snow to drift south of this forcing). So while 700 forcing was stationary, 850 mb forcing moved north to meet it. The end result is one very intensely forced band of snow with subsidence immediately to the west. But the storm is so intense that warm advection and deformation continues to expand northwest of the low and a secondary 700 mb frontogenesis max exists. That is the one that has struggled against dry air though for my forecast area. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
In 4 hours (12-16z) they increased their depth from 21" to 30". That is dumping snow. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
The data exists, it just hasn't been digitized in a lot of places. So searchable records usually have missing data for that ~decade. However the "Top 10" lists usually include the missing data. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
METAR had SNINCR 2/30. Which is 2 in the last hour 30 on the ground - but they had 5 before the snow started, so that's at least 25" from this storm. With compaction I would guess the measured total will be higher at 1 pm. So I think that makes this at least #2 all time (as long as they've cleaned up the record with Will's info). -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I completely checked out while in Florida with the kids on vacation week, but one thing that became clear as I started to look at things this past weekend was how well 700 and 850 mb f-gen was going to align vertically. That usually signals a single intense band, and when you get to that level of lift you can usually bet on a subsidence zone nearby. I was hopeful the secondary band at 700 mb farther northwest was going to do its mid level magic, but the dry air has really given that one fits so far. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
I wish. I might have to go back to December 2002 to find a storm where I was jealous of my parents compared to my location. At GYX now, but we're just finally getting the snow to reduce visibility up here. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
OceanStWx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
If I didn't come back for this one, I was never coming back. Pants optional on the ops floor today. -
Glad to know you feel that way. The probationary employees that were let go were not the fat in the organization. I know them, I had friends lose their jobs. I frankly find it offensive. That ho hum attitude about it all is definitely what is causing people to continue quitting government service in NOAA/NWS.
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I mean what is getting rid of 566 out of ~4000 but dismantling? It's been a miserable stretch since February, and I haven't even had it as bad as some other offices. Thankfully tremendous public support and pressure from Congress has granted us that public safety exemption and the ability to hire back 450 positions. However that is going to come with pretty radical changes to the structure of the NWS as well. What those will be is above my pay grade, but there is more coming (not all bad necessarily). My general feel for this is that NWS knew budgets weren't ever going to get appreciably bigger. They created a plan to reorganize the operations model. The election happened and DOGE came in with a sledgehammer and forced the NWS to pause reorganization because they lacked the staff to do it the way they had planned. Now based on briefing the right people we have the okay to move forward with reorganization as long as we can get staffing back up. I don't have hard evidence of that, but I have enough pieces of information to put that together.
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I mean the winter Canadian air masses aren't even that great anymore.
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Probably for the reason Brian mentioned. Let the natural forest burn now to make it more fire resilient in the future.
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I think the count this morning was like 507 out of control fires and they are attacking (one way or another) 208 of them. The rest I'm not sure there is any way to reach them without a skimmer.
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I do think part of the problem with this year is some of these fires never went out from last year. Like they smoldered in some peat bog overwinter and then erupted this spring again. Also they recently traced a fire start back to an osprey that dropped a fish on a wire that sparked. So it's really easy to start a fire when it's dry. Hell I've even done some dumb shit trying to take care of brush in my fire pit.
