OceanStWx

Don't let Kevin know that every max expected amount map he posts from BOX uses WPC.

That's a pretty strong ensemble signal for 7 days out. Normally you see a little more spread on timing, but every member is generally within the same 24 hour window.

I would say that's pretty much normal for the first two weeks of February to be the snowiest of winter.

It's the hope that kills you.

Another 2.5" bringing the pack up to 8". Looks like proper winter out there.

WAA will get stronger as it approaches, so there is still some radar to fill in.

I have no information to back this up, but I don't know if it is something to do with MOS being wound down. Are the bothering to develop/maintain it when the NBM MOS is going to become the new standard.

Last night's results are in The PFM is our Point Forecast Matrix that falls directly out of the forecast grids. We run this verification twice a day to capture highs and lows, and typically over 100 absolute bias degrees is not great. Always fun to curb stomp MOS.

Gonna depend how it organizes itself, but it should be a fairly uniform event with a fairly narrow range.

You could pull this

Winter is going great up here.

It wouldn't be terrible if the lift was just a bit stronger. Maybe if the departing cold dome is just a little steeper something can organize into a more intense band. I'm kind of liking the purely WAA driven event up here. Everywhere I look I'm getting snow totals between 1.5 and 3 inches.

My forecast yesterday: BML -24 HIE -23 LEB -11 LCI -7 CON -10 EEN -10 I'll take that, LEB really the only whiff. Also MWN with a dewpoint of -62 currently.

I only care about my backyard. CT will torch. Models are trying to bring you into the low 40s too, and I'm just not sure that happens.

High is in a pretty shitty position to lock in cold, BUT... a cold enough air mass can be awfully stubborn to move out.

There's a little convergent area there between coastal north winds and more northwesterly inland.

I believe they trialed them in the Upper Midwest the last couple of years, but yes it is nationwide this season. It makes sense, we warned people if the wind chill hit -30 but not if the temperature fell to -30. Cold is cold. So this new product is for either wind chill or ambient temps.

I believe it was our first. We'll issue them anytime the temperature is expected to feel like -25 or colder, with or without wind.

Nearly identical after midnight, but I had 3.1" before midnight. That did put me over 10" for the month (exactly 12.0") though.

I was between the two myself.

Misery mist tickling the nape of your neck.

February 2015

Deep winter. Like Januarys of yore.

3!

I have used ShotScope the last few years. I don't play as much as I used to, but I like it because it gives me data I can use beyond distances to front, middle, center, hazards, etc. You can use it to track your yardages. It comes with screw caps you can put into grip of your clubs and they register your swing and tag the start and end of a shot that way. They are unique, so it knows when you had a 6i vs a PW. It can get a little wonky for a chip that doesn't involve a lot of arm/hand motion, but at worst it's a good quick judge of yardage to your target if you didn't want to know your club carries.