OceanStWx

I'm ready. When I work overnights this time of year and sleep during the day, the closed door and sun beating on the roof can get my bedroom up into the 72-73 degree range. No thanks. I flip those heat pumps over to cooling.

Clearly nobody paid attention to the blizzard warning anyway.

I don't have a good answer for that. That's why I think it's probably more of a grid based issue. Like the software can get really angry when you are trying to isolate individual grid boxes that don't connect in some way.

That's really a forecaster discretion kind of thing. I'm not aware of any policy that states all offices should use "showers" out there, but I know around here we generally try and focus on what will public perception be. Like if we're going to upslope and I have likely PoP, and there are always flakes in the air, the public is going to say it's snowing, not there are snow showers. So I'll change all wx at 55% PoP or greater to stratiform. It's possible the terrain out there is so unwieldly with the grids, that they do showers for ease.

When this horizon becomes this reality

As long as the glass stays full, it is a type of workout lifting a beer to my mouth. I can get on some good runs, but inevitably midnight shifts derail it. Then again shiftwork makes my life always kind of feel that way, starting over every 18 days.

But it's impressive when you consider the siting for his thermometer!

What's the opposite of a CJ for Scooter and Ray?

I look forward to the 40s from now through Memorial Day.

That makes sense. 70 and 80 are still extreme for that time of year, and will still happen fairly infrequently. But 60 is much closer to normal and so with gradual warming you would expect more of those temps to show up. The tails are still the tails, but the meat of the temp distribution moves closer to the 60s.

Seems like maybe the low levels were just a little too dry and perhaps a little too much instability (graupel) to really make these squalls intense.

How did I get roped into this goat rodeo of an event? For starters that map is primarily compiled using CoCoRaHS and Coop reports, which are typically 7am-ish. So there was some settlings that occurred overnight prior to reporting. If you include those "official" obs with the totals closer to 18 inches the map kind of looks like one of Ginxy's dog turds because of weird bullseyes. Nothing nefarious, because for BOX a miss is a miss. They'll take the false alarm for the original warning which was cancelled before verifying, then take the missed event for not upgrading the advisory once it was clear warning amount were going to happen. It seems like they just decided to go down with the ship on this one. There can definitely be too much concern with verification sometimes, but it is also the only way we can really track our performance objectively. And we're also required by Congress to track certain metrics, as that's the only way they understand our performance. Some offices definitely try and sneak some past. You see it far more often with tornadoes, tweaking the start time so that it falls under a warning (even if the radar evidence points towards the warning being late).

Both the NAM and GFS have solutions that don't appear to my eye that they should have as sharp a cut off on snowfall on the cold side of the precip shield as some of the clowns are showing. Probably goes without saying as they typically aren't dynamic in snowfall ratio. Forecast soundings show that the column around the chicken coops is mostly around -10C, serviceable for dendrites (and Dendrite). There are also some steeper lapse rates in the region of lift that could give a little boost. All in all it looks like a higher ratio potential on the north side, that could smooth out the gradient in snow totals.

NAM still trying to give some congrats to Dendrite. Big band, subby, and then central NH?

Let's have some snow cover for the eclipse and watch temps tank.

Smashing F5 on the SPC site at 06z to see the upgrade from general thunder to marginal.

Definitely top 5 worst drive to or from work. I would drive in February 2013 any day of the week vs this crap. A couple points the towns just gave up on treatment and the weight of the car was enough to start sliding off to the side of the convex roads.

I don't know, a Scooter melt sometimes precedes a nice pattern.

I was a tee boy that season. I think Toys-R-Us had a contest and you could run out and grab the tee after the first kick off. I think it was the Browns game I got the honor. It wasn't going to last forever, but I did think Bill would walk away. Even though this was "mutual" I think he got led out the door. I do think the team underestimates what a draw he was. Players whether they liked him or not always viewed him as a lottery ticket to a Super Bowl. With that gone, I don't think people are knocking down the doors to come to Foxboro.

But the tides are also higher. So the forecast is actually very similar to this event's observed levels and potential for even higher.

Still getting damage reports rolling in from the coast, and this is probably the top coastal flood event in my time at GYX. You see the occasional house drop into the ocean down in Mass, but I can't recall that happening up here until today.

Nothing like a kegstand of cherry wheat to jog the snow memories loose.

Live look at Will processing the latest event.

Very similar look to the EFI. Hits all the same spots. This one does look windier on the backside, but no. Nothing I'm more willing to sell than high wind warning from the northwest.

Nah, that's the next one. With the beach defenses blown away from this one, I'm not liking the early forecasts for the weekend.