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OceanStWx

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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    Some of the towers have wind thresholds and they have to evacuate (PWM nearly did today).
  2. OceanStWx
    Nope, and the ASOS line is busy. So we may never recover that.
  3. OceanStWx
    CMP saying my power is back on, which it definitely isn't. But at least they are cutting rates next year?
  4. OceanStWx
    Actually Oct 2017 was tops, I think we pushed 500,000. 1998 was around 300,000.
  5. OceanStWx
    They gusted to 54 kt, which is the highest since 1995. That place is sited in a pit and has never gusted above 50 kt until today.
  6. OceanStWx
    Already hit 34 kt at PWM with some of this convective stuff.
  7. OceanStWx
  8. OceanStWx
    Testing out the merger of the HRRR, HREF, NAM, RAP. Definitely not a final product yet.
  9. OceanStWx
    Actually mentioned something very similar in my AFD update. The 00z raobs had about 65 kt at 925 at MHX, and 55 kt at WAL. The NAM forecast for the same hour was about 10 kt too high. But the RAP is pretty close. The RAP still brings a LLJ around 100 kt into the Gulf of Maine tomorrow, so that would give me a few hours midday of 50 kt gusts around the office. Typically if the coast is going to get high wind warning, we also rip at the office.
  10. OceanStWx
    More often than not, the raw gust output runs hot. Despite the scale being in knots, you're probably better off considering that to be mph, which is a 15% reduction.
  11. OceanStWx
    No, not yet. I'm the swing shift tonight. But not looking great for the mountains before the Christmas holiday week.
  12. OceanStWx
    If it's not HWW, you're forecasting under 30 mph. BOX forecasters on the night shift:
  13. OceanStWx
    What do you care what product you have if you gust to 55 mph? ORH has never topped 61 knots with a reliable gust, so it's not like you're going to gust to 70 mph.
  14. OceanStWx
    Those river mouths and bays have to create some weird microclimates for wind gusts, but it should blow pretty good around there.
  15. OceanStWx
    It's ORH season.
  16. OceanStWx
    The text rounds off to the nearest 5 mph. So 50 mph or 55 mph. Anyway, I like the see the mixing height intercepting 60 kt before I bank on 50 kt surface gusts, you never mix down 100% of the top of the mixed layer. Only about half the guidance I see in Bufkit shows that for BDL. So I could argue it either way. Seems reasonable to have an advisory, and increase the winds slightly.
  17. OceanStWx
    HWW isn't 55 mph. The way the graphic to text works, you might be talking increasing wind gusts from 51 mph to 53 mph.
  18. OceanStWx
    They didn't though.
  19. OceanStWx
    Pretty notable how long the duration of potentially strong winds are around here. The LLJ almost pivots rather than sweeping through, so it's nearly all day the 18z HRRR is forecasting 45+ knots at PWM.
  20. OceanStWx
    What still blows me away, is that the 1998 ice storm bought us like 15 years of radar coverage before tree blockage became an issue.
  21. OceanStWx
    PWM kicked up a sea breeze yesterday.
  22. OceanStWx
    They looked great a week ago too.
  23. OceanStWx
    Worst of both worlds!
  24. OceanStWx
    Another thing to note about winds, it's not just that things shifted east but also that the low is currently around 993 mb. Quite a bit weaker than models 48 hours ago, and the trend has been for a less amplified system. So it's farther east and weaker (meaning the 925 jet is likely less than the 90-95 kt).
  25. OceanStWx
    Ultimately that will happen. The NAM is going to go away, and the HRRR and RAP will merge into the RFS that will run out to 60 hours.
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