Pretty good trend that direction since yesterday. Even if one of the ops burps and drops a bunch of QPF, the ensemble members are gradually slipping away.
It's close on normals, only about 1 inch more (10.1" to 9.4") in December. But really if you punt the first two weeks of December and the last two of March, that's your season.
Can't keep up with it in the grids. NBM was just a little too warm, and when it's snowing that hard an hour makes a big difference in the storm total grid. HRRR had a decent handle on it.
I wasn't at GYX yet, but IIRC there was some influence of the bent back warm front. It was definitely not a typical southeaster strong wind event, but more northeasterly.