-
Posts
20,178 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by OceanStWx
-
New England Winter 2024-25 Bantering, Whining, and Sobbing Thread
OceanStWx replied to klw's topic in New England
I don't know what this means, but the techs said there was a bad card that was replaced. -
New England Winter 2024-25 Bantering, Whining, and Sobbing Thread
OceanStWx replied to klw's topic in New England
We may never have another winter storm warning but... -
I know we harp on it all the time, but I just saw a post from AMS that Kuchera (or Max T aloft) has the largest errors of all the SLR. Utah is testing a new random forest SLR that shows promising results, beating all other methods out there. Like the rest it does struggle most with the extreme SLRs (too low).
-
The good news is that as modeled this isn't really one of those narrow laterally quasi-stationary bands. Those have the jet streak on the poleward side of the low track, with the right entrance region driving lift. This jet streak is modeled along and south of the low track, with the left exit driving lift. It looks more like a weak pivot or hybrid to me. So that should mean at least a decent precip shield to keep the threat alive.
-
Only 21" of snow that season. Do you just let the molasses take you at that point?
-
So that's a green light for more peach talk?
-
I think the laterally quasi-stationary bands may be my favorite. On the sliding scale of forecast difficulty they are probably tops. High risk, high reward. I would probably rank them laterally quasi-stationary, pivot (trying to nail that pivot point is the hard part), hybrid, and then laterally translating (too uniform, we need winners and losers).
-
I want a leaf curl hardy peach. Also eff the critters that eat them.