Jump to content

OceanStWx

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    19,758

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    The only fruit I got came from the flower buds that were there when the were delivered. Even on a "dry" day like today, it looks like my house will get clipped by this rogue isolated shower.
  2. OceanStWx
    The Patriots are large and delicious. We have two plus two Northland. The strawberries have suffered this year though. Too much rain, and not enough sun to get them going.
  3. OceanStWx
    I think it's a nice ballpark to watch a game. Solid beer selection too.
  4. OceanStWx
    Maybe another TDS by Maynard
  5. OceanStWx
    Nice MCD with a 60% chance of a tornado watch for parts of the area. It's been a solid 2-3 years for most people since the last one.
  6. OceanStWx
    Maybe a TDS near Shirley, MA? Sure looks right at 1057z.
  7. OceanStWx
    I'll say without any knowledge of the air mass, the radar velocity sure looks like a tropical cyclone feeder band.
  8. OceanStWx
    Kudos to the BOX techs who got the call around 2 AM that the radar went down, and currently have it back up and running.
  9. OceanStWx
    Nah, I just hit send before I saw we were splitting it out. I wanted to make sure it was included here too.
  10. OceanStWx
    Just added this thought in the other thread before this was created.
  11. OceanStWx
    Big difference between last week and this upcoming event. Last week had low level winds intersecting the boundary, creating a more widespread rainfall pattern. Tomorrow the low level winds parallel the boundary, which will be a recipe for narrow but potentially significant rainfall distribution.
  12. OceanStWx
    Some models are quicker than others, but essentially the back edge of that forcing is forecast to only reach BDL by 12z. So there's a lot of potential time for storms to back build.
  13. OceanStWx
    There's a PWS right near that that did like 6 inches in 4 hours. That's pretty close to a 1000 yr return period.
  14. OceanStWx
  15. OceanStWx
    That's actually showing the progression of the forecast for today's threat. From slight to moderate.
  16. OceanStWx
  17. OceanStWx
    Data on that only goes back to 2019, but just the one high risk for New England. Until tomorrow.
  18. OceanStWx
  19. OceanStWx
    Your wagon has tipped over while fording the river. You lose 500 bullets, and 200 pounds of food.
  20. OceanStWx
    I think BOX might be running hot there, but GYX is way too low too. ENX is probably a decent compromise around 4.5 to 5 inches so far. Nice 500 year event.
  21. OceanStWx
    There has been a bit of a messenger shuffle in the heaviest QPF this evening when you dprog/dt the HRRR.
  22. OceanStWx
    Already maxed out at 200 year recurrence interval in Litchfield County on the in-house AWIPS display. MRMS estimating 4.5 inches or so in the last 3 hours, which is between 200 and 500 year average recurrence for that part of CT.
  23. OceanStWx
    Honestly don't know the specifics of how they craft those forecasts, but generally using a probabilistic approach with models/ensembles. I would hazard a guess that some comparison of QPF to flash flood guidance is used to determine areas most prone to potential flash flooding.
  24. OceanStWx
    Day 5 slight risk, don't see that too often. Sorry Wiz, that's for rain not storms.
  25. OceanStWx
    Today was my 4th day without measurable precip this month.
×
×
  • Create New...