OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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Nah. It's a pretty common mistake that I make all the time. I think Charlie found 3 consecutive obs of blizzard conditions (if you forego the "less than" 1/4 mile bit). But 3 consecutive obs is actually only 2 hours of time. You need 3 hours, so it's really 4 consecutive obs.
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Just stay within 5 miles or so of the Jetport. It is amazing the difference across town. The previous observer was in North Deering (not far from where I am).
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We couldn't reach them at 18z, but the METAR had a 6 inch snow depth. Based on their previous report we estimated 4.4" additional snow to reach that 6" depth. It could be 5.5" depth rounded up, so maybe you could take that down to 3.9", but it's still a snowfall of 5.5" plus whatever fell after 18z.
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Listen, no snow forecast is ever going to be perfect in all locations, but this is going to be a pretty great forecast for a difficult April storm. We'll see what the map looks like later today (though our phones are down, so we may have to delay until we can talk to all the Coops, etc), but I think it's going to look pretty good compared to even our Tuesday maps.
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Time to move. I'm over 50" for the season now on the northern outskirts of PWM.
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Even if you just made those months average (and March was below too) I would be near 80" for MBY. That's a solid +20 for the PWM area.
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I know the phones were out for the observer there, so we had trouble getting a total. We were estimating 6 inches at 18z yesterday.
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This was a real man storm up here. None of the typical spring garbage where downsloping or elevations plays havoc with the totals. It's going to be a fairly uniform 10-20" for most of our CWA, outside of the areas that struggled to flip to snow at the onset.
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Genny still running. Another 0.2" overnight brings me to 11.5". That's a 6:1 ratio for a nearly foot snowfall. One of the densest snowstorms I can remember.
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East Sandwich Coop with 18.5"
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You can see the circulation now over the Monadnocks on the LL WV product. That peaks around 620 mb, so the H7 low is probably a little south of that. Ekster doing naked snow angels through dinner time.
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There's big H8 convergence forecast through the afternoon. That's a little low for a DGZ fluff bomb, but the upper levels are cooling and some slightly warmer temps should be satisfactory for 10:1 ratios for a time.
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WV sure looks like it's going to try and saturate into a deformation band. May have a little dry air issue near here, but overall it should keep snowing into the early afternoon.
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We got our 30 burger, it just happens to be at Jeffreys Ledge.
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They were reporting blizzard conditions on my drive in and I can say it was not that bad. The roads were terrible and there were branches and wires down, but the vis was manageable. It's almost more of a fog than snow reducing vis to my eye.
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I haven't seen any sleet obs so far, just 1/4sm +SN. But I wouldn't be shocked if there was some graupel in there, because it's pretty convective.
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Depends how many drinks you give him first. He's about 4 miles from the office.
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For Ginxy's eyes only...the western Maine shelf buoy is at 27 ft right now.
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@tunafish is definitely closer to the water than me, I had another 1 or 2 inches accumulation around the same time. By the time you make it as far west as GYX you're getting into the double digit amounts.
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They officially were at 4.5 with the 12z ob. Going to hard pressed to get another 8 today I think.
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Very convective. Look at that stuff feeding in off BOS. EEN/AFN now 1/4sm. At the very least this band should drop a quick 1-3" or 2-4" as it lifts north.
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30 burgers ship sailed when the mid level lows got strung out. You need a well organized secondary AND a stall/loop, and we just didn't have that here.
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I think they do well for situations where the entire column is marginal with those 32-34 surface temps. Locally the temps stayed around 32-34 but it was a pure snow sounding above that.
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Like many products, good in some areas, not in others. It was terrible around here, with forecasts of 2-3" but we're easily 6+ OTG away from the coast even with compaction.
