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August 2022


Rtd208
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1 minute ago, FPizz said:

My mom in Piscataway said it was pouring.   Looked good on radar.  Interested in your total.  Only .09" here, your cell missed to my south by about 2 miles.

0.48" here so far. It was a nice heavy downpour. Still raining lightly, so might add a little more to the total. Sorry that most of it missed you in Branchburg.

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Warmest summer and 2nd driest at Newark with a day to go. All our other stations are I the top 5 for warmth. With several also among the driest summers. So one of the most significant shutdowns of the tropics in the Atlantic which we heavily rely on for summer rainfall. The Plains drought ridge also played an important role. 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2022 79.2 1
- 1993 79.2 0
2 2010 78.7 0
3 1994 78.5 0
4 2021 78.3 0
5 2011 78.0 0
6 2005 77.8 0
7 1988 77.7 0
8 2020 77.6 0
- 2016 77.6 0
- 1973 77.6 0
9 1999 77.1 0


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
1 1966 4.46 0
2 2022 4.87 1
3 1949 5.68 0
4 1957 5.69 0
5 1965 5.83 0
6 1963 6.18 0
7 1993 6.20 0
8 1953 6.47 0
9 2010 6.74 0


 

 

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Your garden hose could do a better job than this.      Behaved as models indicated.    Arrived in a moribund state.
1661909640-DGyKnM9ITgM.png
Swing and another miss for Suffolk county on the island...

Last rain of .1"+ in SW Suffolk is approaching 60 days?... 2" over the last three months...

Another shot in about a week... but those possibilities look far less than 50%....

Been watering the lawn every 3-4 days, still somewhat green because of the zoysia grass .. most lawns around me are now dusty brown, no longer yellow... trees turning yellow and brown as well...

This is the worst drought I've ever seen here... although the late 70's had some periods that were similar...

Real bad at this point...

Sent from my moto g power (2021) using Tapatalk


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11 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Obviously with summer being so dry, this is going to have an impact on our winter. What are the analogs for upcoming winters following extremely dry summers for us?

2002 was a dry/hot summer and 2002-03 was a very good winter but it was also a moderate Nino, this will almost certainly be another Nina. So I think many other factors will determine how good quality the winter will be. 

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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

2002 was a dry/hot summer and 2002-03 was a very good winter but it was also a moderate Nino, this will almost certainly be another Nina. So I think many other factors will determine how good quality the winter will be. 

Yeah there doesn’t seem to be a huge correlation. 88 95 99 were all dry and those winters were snowless, very snowy, snowless respectively and all La Niñas 

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Not much correlation between a top 10 driest July and August at Islip and snowfall the following season. But you can see why the lawns are so brown. Rare combination of warmest and driest June and July on record. 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Total Precipitation Jul 1 to Aug 31
Snowfall for the following season
1 2022-08-31 1.94 ?
2 2005-08-31 2.35 36.0
3 1972-08-31 2.45 4.5
4 1966-08-31 2.91 52.4
5 2015-08-31 3.22 41.4
6 1980-08-31 3.41 20.8
7 1968-08-31 3.51 43.5
8 1998-08-31 3.53 19.4
- 1974-08-31 3.53 14.5
9 1993-08-31 3.58 37.0
10 1981-08-31 3.76 35.4


 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jul 1 to Aug 31
Missing Count
1 2022-08-31 77.4 1
2 2016-08-31 77.1 0
3 2020-08-31 76.5 0
4 2018-08-31 76.1 0
- 2010-08-31 76.1 0
5 1980-08-31 76.0 0
6 2019-08-31 75.9 0
- 2011-08-31 75.9 0
7 1999-08-31 75.8 0
8 2015-08-31 75.7 0
9 2005-08-31 75.6 0
10 1998-08-31 75.5 0

 

 

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2 hours ago, jm1220 said:

2002 was a dry/hot summer and 2002-03 was a very good winter but it was also a moderate Nino, this will almost certainly be another Nina. So I think many other factors will determine how good quality the winter will be. 

I'm not sure the standard ENSO state applies anymore. 

There's been a disconnect for several seasons now

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