August 2022

[binbisso]

High temp for today 

Cpk 90

Ewr 89

Lga 87

[doncat]

Another 89° high here after 70° low...still at ten 90° days for Aug, and 32 for season.

[forkyfork]

91 at ewr ties the august record for 90s

[wxallannj]

The 90s hits just keep on coming!   High of 92 degrees today was the 16th 90 degree plus day this August which extends the record for this month.  Records began in 1973.      Now 33 days of 90 degree plus for the season

[SnoSki14]

9 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

91 at ewr ties the august record for 90s

3 more days of 90s possible too and then some close calls first 10 days of September. 

Many sites will hit their all time annual 90s days.

The drought conditions really helped break us to the upside on what would've been a lot of upper 80s days. 

[doncat]

2 minutes ago, wxallannj said:

The 90s hits just keep on coming!   High of 92 degrees today was the 16th 90 degree plus day this August which extends the record for this month.  Records began in 1973.      Now 33 days of 90 degree plus for the season

Had winds go onshore here for awhile again to stop me short of 90°. You're ahead of me for Aug. 90's but equal on the seasonal number. I think we've mentioned this before but interesting how we both started our records in 1973...I do consider 1977 though as my "official" beginning, for some reason that I don't remember lol.

[donsutherland1]

In New York City, the temperature soared to 90°F today. At the New York Botanical Garden, flowers were in abundance and butterflies were plentiful.

 

[forkyfork]

2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

3 more days of 90s possible too and then some close calls first 10 days of September. 

Many sites will hit their all time annual 90s days.

The drought conditions really helped break us to the upside on what would've been a lot of upper 80s days. 

i wouldn't normally look at this and think it would be one of our hottest augusts on record

[bluewave]

This is the first consecutive 80° months at EWR and only the second time for LGA.
 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Jul	Aug	Season
2011	82.7	76.9	79.8
2022	82.6	80.5	81.6
1993	82.5	79.2	80.9
2010	82.3	77.7	80.0
1994	81.9	75.7	78.8
2013	80.9	74.7	77.8
2020	80.8	77.7	79.3
2012	80.8	77.6	79.2
1999	80.8	76.2	78.5
2019	80.6	76.2	78.4
1955	80.5	77.7	79.1
1988	80.4	79.7	80.1
2002	80.0	77.9	79.0

 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Jul	Aug	Season
2020	82.9	79.7	81.3
2010	82.8	78.6	80.7
1999	81.9	76.4	79.2
2019	81.5	77.6	79.6
2013	81.2	75.8	78.5
2022	81.1	80.9	81.0
2016	81.1	81.6	81.4
1955	80.9	78.7	79.8
1966	80.8	77.7	79.3
2006	80.7	78.1	79.4
1994	80.6	75.3	77.9
2012	80.4	78.7	79.6
2011	80.4	76.0	78.2
1952	80.4	75.3	77.9
2008	80.0	75.0	77.5
1993	80.0	77.4	78.7

[Stormlover74]

Currently in Bangor Maine where it's a delightful 71

[donsutherland1]

Today saw temperatures again reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in much of the region. High temperatures included:

Allentown: 87°
Baltimore: 90°
Bridgeport: 86°
Islip: 90°
New York City: 90°
Newark: 91°
Philadelphia: 93°
Washington, DC: 91°

Newark is on track to record its second warmest summer on record. Philadelphia will see either its second or third warmest summer on record.

Tomorrow will be somewhat cooler than today was. However, the remainder of August will likely see generally above normal temperatures. Additional 90° or above days are possible in parts of the region. Above normal temperatures will likely continue through at least much of the first week of September.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast.

In addition, in the 6 past cases when the June AO averaged +0.750 or above (1950-2021), 67% of the following August and September cases featured above normal temperatures. The August ECMWF forecast shows a warmer than normal September in the Northeast. This warmth would be consistent with the ongoing warming that has been occurring in September.

On August 18, the SOI fell to -32.90. Since 1991, there were 8 cases when the SOI fell to -30 or below during the August 10-25 period. That outcome has often preceded a wetter than normal September in parts of the Northeast. Mean September rainfall figures for those 8 cases: Boston: 4.38" (normal: 3.55"); New York City: 5.08" (normal: 4.31"); and, Philadelphia: 5.12" (normal: 4.40"). Very wet years outnumbered very dry ones by a 2:1 ratio in Boston and 3:1 ratio in both New York City and Philadelphia. 63% of cases saw at least one day with 1" or more rainfall in Boston. 88% saw at least one day with 1" or more in New York City and Philadelphia. 50% of those cases saw at least one day with 2" or more daily rainfall in Philadelphia. In sum, the SOI may be offering a signal that there will be some drought relief for the northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions in September.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.2°C for the week centered around August 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.83°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.88°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall.

The SOI was +6.68 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.305 today.

On August 25 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.773 (RMM). The August 24-adjusted amplitude was 1.644 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.3° (3.2° above normal).

 

[Stormlover74]

59 brrr

[forkyfork]

i'm in dc and the dewpoint is higher at ewr

[psv88]

Only 89 here today. No rain in sight. 

[dmillz25]

37 90 degree days here. High of 91 here

[SACRUS]

8/27

PHL: 93
New Brnswck: 92
JFK: 91
EWR: 91
TTN: 90
NYC: 90
ISP: 90
TEB: 89
ACY: 89
LGA: 88
BLM: 86

[bluewave]

This has been the warmest August on record at EWR, HPN, ISP, POU, PHL, and BDL. Notice how many top 10s there have been in recent years. So it gives us an idea how fast our climate is warming up around the region. 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	80.6	4
2	2005	80.4	0
3	2021	80.0	0
4	2016	79.9	0
5	1988	79.7	0
6	1973	79.6	0
7	2018	79.2	0
-	1993	79.2	0
8	2001	79.0	0
9	2015	78.7	0
10	1995	78.5	0
-	1980	78.5	0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	76.8	5
2	2016	76.1	0
3	2018	75.8	0
4	1983	75.6	0
5	2005	75.0	0
6	1970	74.9	5
-	1959	74.9	0
-	1955	74.9	1
7	2015	74.5	0
-	2001	74.5	0
8	2021	74.4	1
9	1995	74.2	7
10	1980	74.0	0

 

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	77.8	4
2	1980	77.4	0
3	2016	77.3	0
4	2005	77.0	0
5	2018	76.7	0
6	2021	75.9	0
7	2015	75.7	0
-	1998	75.7	0
8	2001	75.6	0
9	2020	75.3	0
10	1988	75.0	0

 

Time Series Summary for Poughkeepsie Area, NY (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	76.7	4
2	2005	75.5	0
3	1939	75.4	1
4	2016	75.2	0
5	1973	75.1	0
6	2018	74.9	0
7	1947	74.8	0
8	2021	74.7	0
-	1938	74.7	0
9	2001	74.3	0
-	1955	74.3	0
10	2020	74.1	0

 

Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	81.1	4
2	2016	81.0	0
3	1980	79.9	0
4	2001	79.8	0
-	1995	79.8	0
5	2005	79.6	0
6	2002	79.5	0
7	2021	79.2	0
8	1978	79.1	0
9	2018	79.0	0
-	2015	79.0	0
-	2010	79.0	0
10	1991	78.9	0

 

Time Series Summary for Hartford Area, CT (ThreadEx) - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Mean Avg Temperature	Missing Count
1	2022	76.8	4
2	1973	76.4	0
3	2018	75.9	0
-	2016	75.9	0
4	1939	75.3	0
5	2001	75.2	0
6	2005	75.1	0
7	2021	74.8	0
8	2020	74.6	0
-	1937	74.6	0
9	1988	74.5	0
10	2003	74.3	0

[Snowlover11]

you know you’re desperate for rain when a little drizzle(this morning) is exciting.

[the_other_guy]

16 hours ago, binbisso said:

High temp for today 

Cpk 90

Ewr 89

Lga 87

But the folliage!! 

[Rtd208]

High for the day yesterday was 93 here.

Current temp 76/DP 69/RH 80%

[CIK62]

The last 4 days of August are averaging  81degs.(73/89) or +7.5.

Month to date is  79.4[+3.0].       August should end at  79.7[+3.6].

Reached 87 here yesterday.

No rain till end of period and multiple 90's.

Today:  80-85, wind e. to s., cloudy early, breaks late, 73 tomorrow AM.

75*(82%RH) here at 7am.      80* at 10:30am.       82* at 1pm.    Back to  80* at 2pm.       83*(70%RH) at 5pm.      Reached 84* at 6pm.

[Allsnow]

We need rain 

[donsutherland1]

Morning thoughts…

Clouds will give way to partly sunny conditions.  High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 82°

Newark: 85°

Philadelphia: 89°

Generally warmer than normal conditions will persist through at least much of the first week of September.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 81.7°; 15-Year: 81.3°

Newark: 30-Year: 82.9°; 15-Year: 82.9°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 84.1°; 15-Year: 83.8°

[SnoSki14]

We should probably start using 10 year averages not 30 given how fast our climate is warming. 

Our new averages can't keep up with the warning trends and this is only with 1-1.5C global warming.

Imagine how things will be like when it's 2.5-3C warming by 2040-2050. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

But the folliage!! 

It’s been burned to a crisp. Just more proof that, that’s the issue, as if we needed any.
As bad as the drought is in the city, it’s a whole other level on the south shore. At this rate there will be serious forest damage and the potential for west coast style fires once we get our first strong cold front and NW winds


.

[IrishRob17]

12 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

It’s been burned to a crisp. Just more proof that, that’s the issue, as if we needed any.
As bad as the drought is in the city, it’s a whole other level on the south shore. At this rate there will be serious forest damage and the potential for west coast style fires once we get our first strong cold front and NW winds


.

A major brush fire started yesterday and is on going today up near Sams Point. 

[psv88]

1 hour ago, the_other_guy said:

But the folliage!! 

The lack of rain has dried up the foliage…less of an impact 

[bluewave]

The record warm pool and ridging east of New England has been having a big impact on our local climate. It’s especially obvious this month with the record warmth in the Northeast. This pattern has been a major factor in all the record warmth since the +13.3 December 2015.

 

 

[winterwx21]

1 hour ago, Allsnow said:

We need rain 

Yep, and very little rain in sight unfortunately. Scattered t-storms with the front late tuesday is looking like our only chance. Very dry pattern the next couple weeks. Hot too. After a brief minor cooldown late week, it looks as if we're gonna start another heat wave next weekend. Labor Day looks hot.

[Blizzwalker]

1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

A major brush fire started yesterday and is on going today up near Sams Point. 

Not happy to hear this. I'm going hiking near there today on the ridge north of Wurtsboro.  I'll keep a lookout for smoke...