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August 2022


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1 hour ago, doncat said:

91° here also today...  32nd, 90°+ day for season.

22 times for Central Park as they made it to 90 late this afternoon. They're still on track to end up with 24-28 90+ days this season by the time its all said and done. I'm looking for them to hit it tomorrow, maybe Friday, probably not over the weekend, maybe Monday, almost certainly Tuesday and possibly Wednesday (next week) which will depend on the timing of the cold front. Another few 90+ days perhaps during September.

WX/PT

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12 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Yep days quickly shortening....close to 2 hrs less daylight than 6/21

Eh, been seeing people post about less daylight since the day after the solstice, and that it won't be long etc...

Decreasing average temps just mean that the 90's we get are racking up bigger +departures.

 

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13 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Eh, been seeing people post about less daylight since the day after the solstice, and that it won't be long etc...

Decreasing average temps just mean that the 90's we get are racking up bigger +departures.

 

I don't think we'll see many 90s after the 31st. I see a lot of big highs coming across to start September. 

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1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

I don't think we'll see many 90s after the 31st. I see a lot of big highs coming across to start September. 

Yeah I mean naturally as we head into September there is going to be less 90's.  But regardless this last stretch of August will rack up some more.

Nonethless, I think we will extend summer into fall like we've been doing.

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Morning thoughts…

It will be partly  cloudy and hot.  High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 90°

Newark: 92°

Philadelphia: 91°

The remainder of August will likely see generally warmer than normal conditions.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 82.3°; 15-Year: 82.0°

Newark: 30-Year: 83.6°; 15-Year: 83.6°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 84.8°; 15-Year: 84.0°

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Several stations in NJ are over 40 days of 90° so far which is a top 2 to 4 highest. NY sites are approaching 30 days at LGA and POU. So another season with a strong onshore flow keeping the highest temperatures west of the Hudson closer to NYC Metro. 


 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Newark Area ThreadEx 44
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 44
SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 44
FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 42
HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 42
SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 40


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Missing Count
1 2010 54 0
2 1993 49 0
3 2022 44 129


 

Time Series Summary for FREEHOLD-MARLBORO, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Missing Count
1 2010 52 7
2 2018 48 7
3 2021 43 0
4 2022 42 142
- 2016 42 4


 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
SARA NEW YORK RAWS 32
LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 29
STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 29
Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 29
POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 29
New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 29
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Another unusually strong +PNA summer for a La Niña. This has become a common occurrence in recent years. We used to get stronger -PNA patterns with our summer La Ninas. So maybe some of this +PNA can carryover into the fall and winter. We saw the out of place strong +PNA during January last winter with the La Niña. Same thing happened for the  20-21 La Niña winter when the +PNA went against expectations. So these competing marine heatwaves must be shifting the traditional La Niña PNA response around. 
 

Another +PNA summer like recent years 

2022

1E5BDF85-9F2F-44BF-B3FC-940059D549AD.gif.c90d6467cc2138dd5eb161c08df72f3c.gif

Recent La Niña summers

31E82741-581A-43F1-81B8-1970A65BDA8B.png.c9b0d9a351dc6ff831070abe4fa79915.png


Older La Niña summers used to be -PNA


004085AC-AEAD-46BC-8DC0-3BE88507D589.png.fcc9a181482c410a70e2cb439e343a30.png

 

 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Several stations in NJ are over 40 days of 90° so far which is a top 2 to 4 highest. NY sites are approaching 30 days at LGA and POU. So another season with a strong onshore flow keeping the highest temperatures west of the Hudson closer to NYC Metro. 


 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Newark Area ThreadEx 44
NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 44
SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 44
FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 42
HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 42
SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 40


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Missing Count
1 2010 54 0
2 1993 49 0
3 2022 44 129


 

Time Series Summary for FREEHOLD-MARLBORO, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
Missing Count
1 2010 52 7
2 2018 48 7
3 2021 43 0
4 2022 42 142
- 2016 42 4


 

Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
SARA NEW YORK RAWS 32
LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 29
STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 29
Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 29
POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 29
New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 29

What caused 2010 to be so anomalously hot? What was the set up?

 

Always when you post data, 2010 sticks out like a sore thumb. Bonkers. 

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32 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

What caused 2010 to be so anomalously hot? What was the set up?

 

Always when you post data, 2010 sticks out like a sore thumb. Bonkers. 

An unusually strong  westerly flow pattern cut off the sea breeze circulation. So places even out to Mineola in Western Nassau had over 50 days reaching 90°. It also allowed several locations in NNJ and Long Island top 105°.
 

Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 59
NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 54
NY MINEOLA COOP 52
NJ RINGWOOD COOP 51
NJ HARRISON COOP 50
NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 48
NJ CRANFORD COOP 46
NY BRONX COOP 45
NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 42
NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 37
CT DANBURY COOP 37
NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 35
NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 34
NY WEST POINT COOP 33
NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 32


 

Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Highest Max Temperature 
NY MINEOLA COOP 108
NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 107
NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 107
NJ HARRISON COOP 106
NJ RINGWOOD COOP 106
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The last 7 days of August are averaging  82degs.(74/90) or +7.

Month to date is  79.1[+2.6].        August should end at  80.0[+3.9]

Reached 87 here yesterday.

Today:   88-93, wind w., m. sunny, some clouds late, 74 tomorrow AM.

ADMISSION $1:     Nothing showing till the 31st. here anyway.    The GFS is still FREE ADMISSION.

1662249600-5CHaPjrIJH0.png

74*(74%RH) here at 7am.      78* at 9am.       80* at 10am.      82* at Noon.       83* at 2pm.      down to 82* at 3pm.

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87/ 58 and on the way to low perhaps mid 90s.  More 90s Fri (8/26) and perhaps Sat (8/27) but some pop up storms and clouds dependent.  Overall warm to hot at times continues through the end of the month.  Euro has a more sublte trough and quick cool down Sep 1 -3 before more overall warm to hot continues next month.  Tropics remain on most guidance to some form or another.  Perhaps eyes turn to the GOM next week.  

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Where did all these "cool folks" come from, looking at every model run and pulling the coolest solutions of them out and going by it. The fastest way to debunk the "cool" solutions is one look at the EPS. We (Central Park) still have at least 3-6 days of 90+ to go and probably 6-12 of 85+. Enjoy the heat!

WX/PT

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4 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Where did all these "cool folks" come from, looking at every model run and pulling the coolest solutions of them out and going by it. The fastest way to debunk the "cool" solutions is one look at the EPS. We (Central Park) still have at least 3-6 days of 90+ to go and probably 6-12 of 85+. Enjoy the heat!

WX/PT

I don't care if the heat stays, it's the weather boredom that's more irritating. Just absolutely nothing going on. 

Tropics are dead, rain chances are dead, severe weather is dead, meh all around. 

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8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I don't care if the heat stays, it's the weather boredom that's more irritating. Just absolutely nothing going on. 

Tropics are dead, rain chances are dead, severe weather is dead, meh all around. 

Honestly, I just can't wait for this summer to be over.  Just dragging at this point and like you said nothing of interest now for months.   Just the same old stuff day in and day out.

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