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Blizzwalker

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Everything posted by Blizzwalker

  1. Just ending here W of Middletown. It's like islands of winter within a broader Fall pattern. Looks like that's the norm we're heading for. Occasional big storms with long stretches of bare ground. I was never a "snowpack" guy because I always had one. Now, I've become one too late.
  2. Watched the SE trend across ALL models. Saw the HRRR about 1115 last nite. Middletown/NW Orange Co was deader than dead. Up at 8--What a surprise !
  3. Hope u get up to the mountains. Meanwhile, I hope we all get some winter down here !
  4. Hoping to fan the flames of enthusiasm for 6 inches NW this Saturday... Here is snow in NY- Took this of my friend looking at Mt Marcy right before New Years Eve.
  5. Probably bust -- snow mixing in last half hour just NW Middletown at 750 ft. Temp has dropped from 38 to 34 in 3 1/2 hours (Wunderground station nearby). Snow appearing a bit earlier than the 11 pm forecast by nws. We may still get 6 inches up here, which wouldn't be a bust for noaa's recent call.
  6. Seeing the NW thread red, clicking on it and finding a lengthy leaf discussion ---All part of the fun of a lively (and botanically sensitive) weather forum...
  7. About 2300 ft. I did saturate the blue a bit.
  8. At Sams Point near Ellenville last Monday. Snow was found.
  9. Snowing moderately just NW of Middletown. NOAA said flip over to snow supposed to be around 10-- flipped at about 7 PM. About 1/2 inch (?).
  10. Sounds correct. Denali in winter, at 20,000 ft, gets the winds well over 100 mph, plus further north. The book "Minus 148" by Art Davidson describes the first winter ascent of Denali in 1967. Did they have accurate means of temp measurement ? -- doubtful. Was it colder than Mt Washington tonite ? Almost certainly. Art and 2 others had to stay in a snow cave they dug at 18000 ft for 3 days until 150 mph winds subsided.
  11. Some get refreshed by cola, others by beer. Good to have diverse viewpoints. But there is objective predicting, then there is cheerleading against the collective sentiments of a snow enthusiast group.
  12. And it had snowed for me-- not everyone is snowless.
  13. It's not about accuracy of prediction -- it's about systematic bias-- in an unpopular direction.
  14. You don't get it. Systematically, you deliver every possible bit of info suggesting it won't snow, while ignoring info suggesting snow. You have a far greater command of meteorology than me and I respect your knowledge. But don't expect a good reaction from a forum that looks forward to snow
  15. NW Orange Drama-- In last half hour west of Middletown, surface temps must have dropped. Snow had changed from wet to fluffy, breeze has picked up, and snow sticking on streets.
  16. Minisink area, west of Middletown. Good snow area (not now...). That would be areas of Slate Hill, Greenville, Waywayanda, Otisville, etc.
  17. .1 inch front end thump here west of Middletown....
  18. Chasing snow... 10 days ago near Blackhead Mt in Catskills.
  19. Many of us on this board feel similarly. I know I feel a definite lowering of mood when it is excessively warm and snowless in winter. After all, it is a weather site and most of us look forward to winter being wintry. I wasn't always this way. I believe it is a learned behavior--- the improved technology allowing better tracking (sometimes), and beautiful graphics has combined with the aesthetics of snow and ice to weave a beguiling winter web around me. Seeing that Euro run with the right colors proves to be a dopamine saturated reward. The drama of storms also contributes. (unless like recent western NY extremes where lives are lost) In January --dry ground and 48 with no storms calls for prozac.
  20. I'm going backpacking in the Catskills for 3 days tomorrow. There's going to be so much snow that even with snowshoes don't know if I will make a summit... Good antidote for this sh..t, I mean nonsense. I WILL see snow !!
  21. Like everyone, was getting hopes up for 12/22. "Unreal pattern", "Perfect set-up", "Textbook KU 500", etc. Now, I feel let down-- but not as much as I used to. After decades, I'm getting better at appreciating tracking but not so invested that I'm a victim of the bipolar swings. It hurts when the mega-storm evaporates-- but let us not forget the times that even in marginal patterns we can have big events emerge rather unexpectedly....hope something comes up.
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