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August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

You’ll end up in a shelter, if you are forced to evacuate, it’s why I kept saying head East to Maui or big island, regardless of watches imo. Does your hotel property have a building away from the beach, higher up in elevation?  In Iwa we moved to building away from beach on property. The next day the building we had been in was gone. Meanwhile we had people knocking on room door to get on bus to shelter as storm was hitting.  Hopefully Lane stays away and only a glancing blow with TS force winds happens to you in Oahu.  Otherwise it’ll be a memorable vacation for the wrong reasons.

No need to scare him...

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1 hour ago, psv88 said:

No need to scare him...

It’s not hyperbole, anyway I can see the same data as everyone else, and it looks more serious than it did yesterday and a lot more serious than 48 hours ago. 

I’m at the point where whatever happens happens. I can’t control it and leaving isn’t an option. So I’m riding it out and hoping for the best.

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3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

We'll have to see if we can match or top the 1953/1948 enf of August heat but looking might toasty for a sustained period 8/26 - Sep 2 and beyond.

 

test8.gif

 

 

34 minutes ago, RedSky said:

It's raining at ludicrous rate right now

 

Tropical indeed! Was pouring so hard. It doesn't seem like the more normal rain we used to get. I am hoping this upcoming heat ends by early September..

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19 hours ago, bluewave said:

LGA is doing fine. It is located in one of the warmest parts of NYC. So it is supposed to have some of the highest temperatures. LGA seems to alternate with EWR on which station has the highest temperatures. Some summers with different wind flow and humidity EWR has higher temps than LGA. Did you know that Central Park often had more 90 degree days than LGA before the 1996 sensor move in Central Park. That was when the Central Park thermometer was in the open like all sensors are supposed to be.

This summer the highest temperature departures have been located north and east of NYC closer to the strongest upper ridging. Notice how similar the temperature rankings are for these areas north and east of NYC. Areas south and west of NYC have been cooler where there have been more clouds and rain along with onshore flow.

August average temperatures and rankings through the 20th:

LGA....81.3...#4th warmest

ISP.....77.7....#3

BDR....78.7....#1 warmest August 1-20 on record

HPN....76.5....#4

mon2day.gif.8f2cf0e33041bb090d0782bef65532e5.gif

 

I don't disagree with you on LGA.

I've been following Central Park ever since I was a small child and the "official" NYC obs were moved from the Battery to Central Park in 1960. I remember being very happy at the time since the summer of 1960 had just concluded as the first summer in recorded history without a 90 degree reading. Tops at the Battery was 89. However, the Park did reach 91 that year so NY was saved the ignominious fate of going through a year without officially reaching 90. During the years there were ups...May 19, 1962 (99), April 1976 (96) and of course July 1966. I recall being somewhat surprised on July 3 when the highs I believe were NYC 103, EWR 103, JFK 104 (strong NW wind all day) and LGA 107. It was unusual at the time for LGA to be so far out in front of the rest. Possibly the NW wind. There were also downs. I remember staying up all night in late Aug. 1986, listening to the hourly reports on the radio, to see if the temperature would fall below 50 for the first time ever during July or August. It did not. During most of this time, though, there was never an issue of NYC not being a valid proxy for Manhattan.

I did not pay much attention to the ASOS thing in 1996 and first really noticed it during the early 2000s. On July 31, 2009 there was an article in the NY Times lamenting the cool summer thus far and that it had not exceeded 86 during all of July. Well, the summer was certainly well below normal but LGA recorded days of 87,87,88 and 89 (on the day of the article). No big deal really except to illustrate how what is being viewed as reality is actually based on a false premise. This year, when it comes time to review the summer, the media will probably report the fifteen (maybe a few more) 90+ days at NYC and draw conclusions from that. I will be pleasantly surprised if they mention the 30+ (maybe close to 40 when all is said and done) 90+ days at LGA and discuss the foliage issue. I would be even more pleasantly surprised if this finally motivates Upton to correct this situation.  

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Next 8 days averaging 78degs., or about 5degs. AN.

Month to date is  +2.4[78.1].    Should be +3.0[78.1] by the 30th.

850mb. T's reaching their nadir for the next 15 days tomorrow[10C].   A solid 5 days[8/28-9/02] near 18C, then induced troughyness takes it down to a near normal 12C in first week of Sept.

RWTT still has the next 90 days at +2F to +3F, seemingly with few breaks.   Really, just eastern Canada and Greenland look BN in the hemisphere during the period.

CFS has weak system along EC during week 2 in Sept , leading to a cutoff 500mb low over us by mid Sept.

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35 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Well over an 1" out this way. I lost track of how much we have received since this pattern started in July. 

Safe to say this is the greenest my yard has looked for the later part of August in quite a while. 

Still mowing once a week to keep up with the lawn. 

Yeah last night was a soaker.  Been a very wet Summer indeed, and I agree about the lush vegetation.  Back part of the yard would be a "jungle" if I didn't constantly keep up with the weed whacking.  Like doncat said though, looks like we finally dry out over the next week and perhaps beyond.

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Closest local mesonet site has .75" for last night but the 3 closest WU sites all have well over 1", they are between 1.3 and 1.48". I know it rained steadily for several hours with a few embedded heavier periods but I am surprised to see it so far above 1". Unfortunately KDXR didn't report any rain at all but does have ~5-6 hours of rain in their observations so that station is useless (again). 

I'm really looking forward to things drying out here over the next week or so :) 

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