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August 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Not sure about the monthly total but it’s been a running joke for years in my neighborhood that it never rains in the summer. The new official station has been proving there is some truth to that. We are too far south for the sea breeze convection that seems to form along the southern state. And convection coming from the West seems to die before reaching us. Even further east on the south shore of Suffolk seems to get Into better storms. Of course we have had our moments but that’s usually associated with warm fronts. It must be a combination of the of the ocean and geography. 

I have clearly seen your part of LI (southwest corner) miss rains (and snow) often enough. Oddly, I skipped Jones Beach this year bc majors of shoes I’ve gone to past 5 years or so have had rain which to me was unheard of for a long time (90s-like 2012)

I wonder if the North Fork as an area receives less, however. It was my understanding that the north fork received  the least precip which is why it’s a suitable area for wineries. Kinda curious as to precip patterns on LI. I know my part of Suffolk (central, North, ~Port Jeff area) clearly gets the most snow the past few decades. 

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

You have to go back almost a month to Jul 21st the last day LGA had a high below 80 and for LGA a low below 70.  Jul 25th for EWR

3rd longest above 70 streak at LGA as of yesterday. 

Most consecutive days at or above 70 at LGA:

#1.....34 days....2006

#2.....32 days....1980

#3.....28 days....2018...2010

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1 hour ago, sb7916 said:

Snoski14? I hate it. Want the warmth to return with no chill in the air what's whoever. Seeing April and November weather in the summer months sucks and just pisses me off. Don't want to be wearing a jacket in the middle of the summer

70-72F is a pretty warm April-Nov day. 

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50 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Some of the mushrooms on the lawns are large and thick enough to be used as bludgeons.

Seriously. I can’t remember a year where I’ve seen more mushrooms. 

We had my father in laws suprise 70th birthday at the house yesterday. I put up a few canopy’s in the yard and was glad I did because as soon as everyone sat down to eat we had a downpour.  The rain this summer had been a pain but at least its been warm. Today is the one exception. For August, I would consider today “disgusting”.  Luckily it looks fairly short lived. Need to pack in the beach days while we can  

 

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6 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

Good lord.

Looks like we're finally exiting this multi-week pattern of endless pop-up severe storms.  Tuesday night's rain seems like a more orderly frontal passage event rather than spontaneous atmospheric combustion from 100 degree dews and sea breeze fronts.

Yup. Ick...

 

Boy I sure hope you're right.

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Finally we get some cooler air. At least for a few days. I was in Boston this weekend and yesterday it felt cold during the morning hours although the day got quite warm in the mid 70’s. Looking ahead cooler and drier for a few days and than it’ll get really warm again but the good thing about the upcoming warm airmass is that it will be dry and not humid. Once that scoots to our south by September 4th or so, it’ll start to really cool down. Fall is coming.

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1 hour ago, Snow88 said:

Beautiful sleeping weather

All weather is beautiful sleeping weather if you have a $130 window AC from Wally World.

Anyway, not sure why the commotion about a looming cooldown. We do a couple days of seasonable to perhaps tenuously BN lows and then the heat signal is as strong as it ever was. I have a perhaps ill-considered Misquamicut --> home --> Newport --> DC --> Lake George --> St. Augustine itinerary the first two weeks of Sep, so hopefully warm wx prevails during the beachy facets of my tour.

uzGMgvy.png

 

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12 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

From Mount Holly's AFD:

Oh please oh please oh please.

I've been saying for awhile that the best weather of the summer is coming late week. Thursday through saturday will be about as close to perfect as it gets for summer weather. 80 degrees with dewpoints in the 50s. And even next week when it heats up, it won't be the extremely humid wet pattern. It'll be mostly sunny and hot. Shore businesses that suffered this summer due to all the rain will at least be able to enjoy a strong finish with the great beach weather in the week and a half leading up to Labor Day.

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2 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

All weather is beautiful sleeping weather if you have a $130 window AC from Wally World.

Anyway, not sure why the commotion about a looming cooldown. We do a couple days of seasonable to perhaps tenuously BN lows and then the heat signal is as strong as it ever was. I have a perhaps ill-considered Misquamicut --> home --> Newport --> DC --> Lake George --> St. Augustine itinerary the first two weeks of Sep, so hopefully warm wx prevails during the beachy facets of my tour.

uzGMgvy.png

 

It's because we're finally gonna see a major break from the humidity. We've had pretty much constant high humidity for a couple months. For a change we're gonna see several days with dewpoints in the 50s. A huge change from what we've had this summer and it will feel great.

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2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

It's because we're finally gonna see a major break from the humidity. We've had pretty much constant high humidity for a couple months. For a change we're gonna see several days with dewpoints in the 50s. A huge change from what we've had this summer and it will feel great.

Yeah, but it was close to a miracle that we maintained the 80/75 stuff as long as we did... you can't expect that for the whole of astro summer. I remain leery of the ridge building a bit further east and siphoning off the western GoM moisture. As it stands, the GFS op has dews near or better than 70F for much (most?) of next week. The broadcast mets carrying on about a "taste of autumn" are overselling it imo.

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7 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

Yeah, but it was close to a miracle that we maintained the 80/75 stuff as long as we did... you can't expect that for the whole of astro summer. I remain leery of the ridge building a bit further east and siphoning off the western GoM moisture. As it stands, the GFS op has dews near or better than 70F for much (most?) of next week. The broadcast mets carrying on about a "taste of autumn" are overselling it imo.

That is true...while it is a taste of autumn especially compared to what we've had, it's an island of cool in a sea of warmth.

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